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| Tuesday, 07/22/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 ATL | 623 | 13-9 | 163 | 163 | +100 | 82.5 |
 LVA | 624 | 11-11 | -2.5 | -1.5 | -120 | -1 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| ATL | 87 | -4 | ATL (+5.5) | |
| LVA | 81 | -1.5 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| ATL | 83 | ATL (+3.5) | 42 | ATL (+2) | 31-70 | 43.7% | 9-28 | 32.5% | 12-16 | 74.7% | 46 | 9 | 12 | ||
| LVA | 80 | Un (+0) | 41 | Un (+0.2) | 28-68 | 41.4% | 9-26 | 33.8% | 15-19 | 82.6% | 42 | 7 | 11 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the spread 586 times, while Las Vegas covered the spread 414 times. Edge against the spread=Atlanta. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 495 games went under the total, while 481 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta won the game straight up 540 times, while Las Vegas won 438 times. Edge on the money line=Atlanta. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the first half line 566 times, while Las Vegas covered the first half line 398 times. Edge against the first half line=Atlanta. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 500 games went over the first half total, while 500 games went under the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 510 times, and failed to cover 490 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 688 times, and failed to cover 312 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 592 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 375 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 589 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 380 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Las Vegas in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers. Las Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-11 (15%) ATS with an average line of -1.7. (-10.1 unit$, ROI=-70.6%). The average score of these games was Aces 78.5, Opponents 86.2. |
| Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots. Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 10-15 (40%) with an average money line of -313. (-42.7 unit$, ROI=-54.5%) The average score of these games was Aces 82.3, Opponents 82.9. |
| Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers. Las Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-9 (25%) with an average money line of -124. (-14.3 unit$, ROI=-95.6%) The average score of these games was Aces 78.5, Opponents 86.2. |
| Trends Favoring Las Vegas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of -229. (-16.6 unit$, ROI=-120.4%) The average score of these games was Dream 76.0, Opponents 85.0. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.