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MLB Betting Systems Report
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Current View: Records vs. money line, sorted by game.
Tuesday, August 05, 2025
Baltimore at Philadelphia - Tuesday, 08/05/2025 6:45 PM - Matchup
Favoring Baltimore
Bet on - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - after 2 or more consecutive losses, in August games.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 2021: 73-53 (57.9%) with an average money line of +152  (+58.3 unit$, ROI=46.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 4.4
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (3-1, +3.1 units).

Favoring Philadelphia
Bet against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 12 runs or more.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 87-42 (67.4%) with an average money line of -113  (+39.6 unit$, ROI=27.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-2, -0.5 units).

Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.4 runs/game on the season (AL), after a loss by 8 runs or more.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 289-181 (61.5%) with an average money line of -109  (+91.2 unit$, ROI=17.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 4.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-13, +2.2 units).

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs - Tuesday, 08/05/2025 8:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring Cincinnati
Bet on - Any team - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 2021: 37-8 (82.2%) with an average money line of -110  (+28.2 unit$, ROI=57.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 2.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +2.0 units).

Bet on - Any team - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 2021: 45-11 (80.4%) with an average money line of -110  (+32.9 unit$, ROI=53.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 2.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +2.0 units).

Bet on - Any team - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 2021: 42-10 (80.8%) with an average money line of -118  (+30.3 unit$, ROI=49.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 3.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +2.0 units).

Bet on - Any team - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 2021: 83-47 (63.8%) with an average money line of +106  (+41 unit$, ROI=31.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 4.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (1-1, 0.0 units).

Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet on - Home teams - team with a good SLG (>=.430) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.250) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 1997: 204-116 (63.8%) with an average money line of -106  (+80.8 unit$, ROI=23.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (6-5, -0.3 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 1997: 106-27 (79.7%) with an average money line of -196  (+53.2 unit$, ROI=20.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 2.9
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-2, -0.8 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 1997: 159-46 (77.6%) with an average money line of -196  (+69 unit$, ROI=17.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 3.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (8-4, -0.7 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 1997: 151-45 (77%) with an average money line of -194  (+63.9 unit$, ROI=16.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 3.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (10-4, +1.0 units).

NY Yankees at Texas - Tuesday, 08/05/2025 8:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring NY Yankees
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring >=4.9 runs/game on the season (AL).
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 2021: 104-56 (65%) with an average money line of -107  (+44.3 unit$, ROI=26.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-10, +5.0 units).

Favoring Texas
Bet on - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games.
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 2021: 40-16 (71.4%) with an average money line of +101  (+24.3 unit$, ROI=43.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 3.9
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-2, +0.1 units).

Bet against - Road teams - good offensive team (>=5.1 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start.
System applies to: NY Yankees.

System's record since 1997: 98-40 (71%) with an average money line of -123  (+48.8 unit$, ROI=28.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 4.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-2, +0.1 units).

Toronto at Colorado - Tuesday, 08/05/2025 8:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Colorado
Bet on - Home teams - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.0 runs/game on the season (NL), after a loss by 12 runs or more.
System applies to: Colorado.

System's record since 1997: 35-15 (70%) with an average money line of +115  (+25.3 unit$, ROI=50.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 3.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-1, +2.8 units).

San Diego at Arizona - Tuesday, 08/05/2025 9:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring San Diego
Bet on - Any team - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a marginal losing team (46% to 49%).
System applies to: San Diego.

System's record since 2021: 53-14 (79.1%) with an average money line of -138  (+33.6 unit$, ROI=36.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.7, Opponent 3.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-1, +3.3 units).

Bet on - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing.
System applies to: San Diego.

System's record since 2021: 55-28 (66.3%) with an average money line of +104  (+29.2 unit$, ROI=35.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 3.5
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-5, 0.0 units).

Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - NL team with a high slugging percentage (>=.430) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Arizona.

System's record since 1997: 169-94 (64.3%) with an average money line of -105  (+70 unit$, ROI=25.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (7-5, +1.2 units).

Chi White Sox at Seattle - Tuesday, 08/05/2025 9:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Seattle
Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest.
System applies to: Chi White Sox.

System's record since 2021: 93-20 (82.3%) with an average money line of -218  (+49.4 unit$, ROI=20.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.6, Opponent 2.9
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (10-5, -0.1 units).

Wednesday, August 06, 2025
Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs - Wednesday, 08/06/2025 2:20 PM - Matchup
Favoring Cincinnati
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - NL team with a high slugging percentage (>=.430) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 1997: 169-94 (64.3%) with an average money line of -105  (+70 unit$, ROI=25.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (7-5, +1.2 units).

Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet on - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 2021: 55-28 (66.3%) with an average money line of +104  (+29.2 unit$, ROI=35.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 3.5
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-5, 0.0 units).

Bet on - Home teams - team with a good SLG (>=.430) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.250) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 1997: 204-116 (63.8%) with an average money line of -106  (+80.8 unit$, ROI=23.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (6-5, -0.3 units).

NY Yankees at Texas - Wednesday, 08/06/2025 2:35 PM - Matchup
Favoring NY Yankees
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring >=4.9 runs/game on the season (AL).
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 2021: 104-56 (65%) with an average money line of -107  (+44.3 unit$, ROI=26.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-10, +5.0 units).

Houston at Miami - Wednesday, 08/06/2025 4:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Miami
Bet on - Home teams - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Miami.

System's record since 1997: 229-144 (61.4%) with an average money line of -104  (+79 unit$, ROI=20.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (6-2, +3.7 units).

Kansas City at Boston - Wednesday, 08/06/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Kansas City
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 43-16 (72.9%) with an average money line of -103  (+26.5 unit$, ROI=43.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.6, Opponent 3.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-3, +1.1 units).

Favoring Boston
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring >=4.9 runs/game on the season (AL).
System applies to: Kansas City.

System's record since 2021: 104-56 (65%) with an average money line of -107  (+44.3 unit$, ROI=26.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-10, +5.0 units).

San Diego at Arizona - Wednesday, 08/06/2025 9:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Arizona
Bet on - Home teams - team with a good SLG (>=.430) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.250) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games.
System applies to: Arizona.

System's record since 1997: 204-116 (63.8%) with an average money line of -106  (+80.8 unit$, ROI=23.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (6-5, -0.3 units).

Thursday, August 07, 2025
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - Thursday, 08/07/2025 6:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Cincinnati
Bet on - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 2021: 55-28 (66.3%) with an average money line of +104  (+29.2 unit$, ROI=35.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 3.5
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-5, 0.0 units).

Friday, August 08, 2025
LA Angels at Detroit - Friday, 08/08/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Detroit
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL).
System applies to: LA Angels.

System's record since 2021: 79-43 (64.8%) with an average money line of -111  (+31.4 unit$, ROI=23.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-15, -1.0 units).

NY Mets at Milwaukee - Friday, 08/08/2025 8:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring NY Mets
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Milwaukee.

System's record since 2021: 53-23 (69.7%) with an average money line of +102  (+31.3 unit$, ROI=41.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 3.4
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-7, +9.9 units).

Favoring Milwaukee
Bet on - Home teams - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=2.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Milwaukee.

System's record since 1997: 126-65 (66%) with an average money line of -117  (+49.9 unit$, ROI=22.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.5, Opponent 3.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-3, -3.0 units).

Bet on - Home teams - average hitting team (AVG =.255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Milwaukee.

System's record since 1997: 187-102 (64.7%) with an average money line of -115  (+69.4 unit$, ROI=20.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 3.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-3, -3.0 units).

Colorado at Arizona - Friday, 08/08/2025 9:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Colorado
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts.
System applies to: Arizona.

System's record since 1997: 35-12 (74.5%) with an average money line of -100  (+23 unit$, ROI=48.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 3.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (1-0, +1.0 units).

Washington at San Francisco - Friday, 08/08/2025 10:15 PM - Matchup
Favoring Washington
Bet against - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%), playing on Friday.
System applies to: San Francisco.

System's record since 1997: 82-46 (64.1%) with an average money line of +102  (+37.4 unit$, ROI=29.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 3.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Favoring San Francisco
Bet against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 2021: 65-31 (67.7%) with an average money line of -105  (+32.5 unit$, ROI=32.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 4.3
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (7-6, +1.0 units).

Saturday, August 09, 2025
Washington at San Francisco - Saturday, 08/09/2025 4:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring San Francisco
Bet against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 2021: 65-31 (67.7%) with an average money line of -105  (+32.5 unit$, ROI=32.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 4.3
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (7-6, +1.0 units).

NY Mets at Milwaukee - Saturday, 08/09/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring NY Mets
Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Milwaukee.

System's record since 2021: 53-23 (69.7%) with an average money line of +102  (+31.3 unit$, ROI=41.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 3.4
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-7, +9.9 units).

Philadelphia at Texas - Saturday, 08/09/2025 7:15 PM - Matchup
Favoring Texas
Bet on - Home teams - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 2021: 66-41 (61.7%) with an average money line of +122  (+39.3 unit$, ROI=36.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 4.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (11-7, +6.7 units).

Bet on - Home teams - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 2021: 78-52 (60%) with an average money line of +124  (+44.8 unit$, ROI=34.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 4.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (11-7, +6.7 units).