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MLB Betting Systems Report
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Current View: Records vs. money line, sorted by game.
Friday, May 02, 2025
Washington at Cincinnati - Friday, 05/02/2025 6:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Cincinnati
Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 65-9 (87.8%) with an average money line of -212  (+45.9 unit$, ROI=29.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 2.5
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet on - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 1997: 85-16 (84.2%) with an average money line of -195  (+53.8 unit$, ROI=27.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 2.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 78-12 (86.7%) with an average money line of -214  (+52.4 unit$, ROI=27.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 2.5
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 1997: 71-14 (83.5%) with an average money line of -193  (+44 unit$, ROI=26.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 2.8
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=2.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 61-10 (85.9%) with an average money line of -211  (+39.9 unit$, ROI=26.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 2.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 63-10 (86.3%) with an average money line of -216  (+41.4 unit$, ROI=26.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 2.5
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 107-17 (86.3%) with an average money line of -218  (+70 unit$, ROI=25.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 88-16 (84.6%) with an average money line of -207  (+54.9 unit$, ROI=25.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 2.6
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 125-21 (85.6%) with an average money line of -221  (+78.5 unit$, ROI=24.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 113-22 (83.7%) with an average money line of -209  (+67 unit$, ROI=23.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 105-20 (84%) with an average money line of -213  (+62.4 unit$, ROI=23.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 131-26 (83.4%) with an average money line of -213  (+75.5 unit$, ROI=22.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - team with a poor SLG (<=.400) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.250) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL).
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 86-17 (83.5%) with an average money line of -214  (+49.5 unit$, ROI=22.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -2.3 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 1997: 104-26 (80%) with an average money line of -193  (+53.7 unit$, ROI=21.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 3.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-1, -0.3 units).

Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 122-26 (82.4%) with an average money line of -216  (+65.9 unit$, ROI=20.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-1, -0.3 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 1997: 155-43 (78.3%) with an average money line of -194  (+71.5 unit$, ROI=18.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 3.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-1, +1.7 units).

Bet against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 138-33 (80.7%) with an average money line of -213  (+67.6 unit$, ROI=18.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 2.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-1, -0.3 units).

Bet on - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Cincinnati.

System's record since 1997: 145-42 (77.5%) with an average money line of -191  (+64.7 unit$, ROI=18.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 3.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-1, +1.7 units).

Bet against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 187-48 (79.6%) with an average money line of -209  (+86.5 unit$, ROI=17.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 2.9
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-1, +1.7 units).

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees - Friday, 05/02/2025 7:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring NY Yankees
Bet on - Home teams - off a one run loss versus a division rival, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a bad team (38% to 46%).
System applies to: NY Yankees.

System's record since 1997: 133-43 (75.6%) with an average money line of -173  (+58.6 unit$, ROI=19.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.6, Opponent 3.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Cleveland at Toronto - Friday, 05/02/2025 7:07 PM - Matchup
Favoring Cleveland
Bet on - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.
System applies to: Cleveland.

System's record since 2021: 47-30 (61%) with an average money line of +149  (+39.8 unit$, ROI=51.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.5, Opponent 4.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -1.0 units).

Favoring Toronto
Bet against - Road teams - terrible offensive team (<=3.6 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games.
System applies to: Cleveland.

System's record since 2021: 40-6 (87%) with an average money line of -163  (+30.2 unit$, ROI=40.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 3.1
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +2.0 units).

Minnesota at Boston - Friday, 05/02/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Boston
Bet against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a winning record, playing on Friday.
System applies to: Minnesota.

System's record since 1997: 175-94 (65.1%) with an average money line of -116  (+66.2 unit$, ROI=21.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 4.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -1.0 units).

LA Dodgers at Atlanta - Friday, 05/02/2025 7:15 PM - Matchup
Favoring LA Dodgers
Bet on - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 - excellent fielding team - averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season against opponent terrible defensive catchers - allowing 1+ SB's/game on the season.
System applies to: LA Dodgers.

System's record since 1997: 87-30 (74.4%) with an average money line of -140  (+45.1 unit$, ROI=27.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 3.3
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (8-4, +2.6 units).

Favoring Atlanta
Bet on - Home teams - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more.
System applies to: Atlanta.

System's record since 2021: 49-23 (68.1%) with an average money line of +107  (+29.5 unit$, ROI=41.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 4.2
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +2.4 units).

Detroit at LA Angels - Friday, 05/02/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Favoring Detroit
Bet against - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season.
System applies to: LA Angels.

System's record since 1997: 91-30 (75.2%) with an average money line of -148  (+46.5 unit$, ROI=25.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 6.4, Opponent 3.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (3-2, +0.1 units).

Bet against - Any team - poor AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season.
System applies to: LA Angels.

System's record since 1997: 331-171 (65.9%) with an average money line of -136  (+98.1 unit$, ROI=14.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 3.9
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-5, -0.5 units).

Favoring LA Angels
Bet on - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games.
System applies to: LA Angels.

System's record since 2021: 40-24 (62.5%) with an average money line of +147  (+34.8 unit$, ROI=54.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 4.0
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +3.1 units).

Colorado at San Francisco - Friday, 05/02/2025 10:15 PM - Matchup
Favoring San Francisco
Bet against - Road teams - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Colorado.

System's record since 1997: 56-14 (80%) with an average money line of -137  (+36.8 unit$, ROI=38.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.9, Opponent 3.4
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Saturday, May 03, 2025
Seattle at Texas - Saturday, 05/03/2025 7:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring Seattle
Bet on - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 - excellent fielding team - averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season against opponent terrible defensive catchers - allowing 1+ SB's/game on the season.
System applies to: Seattle.

System's record since 1997: 87-30 (74.4%) with an average money line of -140  (+45.1 unit$, ROI=27.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 3.3
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (8-4, +2.6 units).

Detroit at LA Angels - Saturday, 05/03/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Favoring Detroit
Bet against - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season.
System applies to: LA Angels.

System's record since 1997: 91-30 (75.2%) with an average money line of -148  (+46.5 unit$, ROI=25.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 6.4, Opponent 3.7
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (3-2, +0.1 units).

Bet against - Any team - poor AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season.
System applies to: LA Angels.

System's record since 1997: 331-171 (65.9%) with an average money line of -136  (+98.1 unit$, ROI=14.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 3.9
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-5, -0.5 units).