WNBA - Connecticut vs. Phoenix, 08/05/2025 - Betting Systems

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Tuesday, 08/05/2025 10:00 PM (ET)
	Gm#	Record	Open	Latest	ML	1H
CON	Connecticut	605	5-22	166	165.5		83.5
PHO	Phoenix	606	17-11	-14.5	-14.5		-8.5

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Tip Sheet Simulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team Stats Schedule & Results Head-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!

Team Stats Summary Comparison

Team Stats Summary Comparison

Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.

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Connecticut - Current Season Performance
	Against Spread		Money Line		Team				Opponent
	W-L	O-U	W-L	Units	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	14-13	14-13	5-22	+5.8	74.9	38.1	40.4%	39	87.0	44.9	46.5%	44
Road Games	6-6	5-7	1-11	+2	68.3	35.9	38.7%	37	89.3	45.6	46.6%	46
vs. Western Conference	8-8	10-6	2-14	-4	76.4	37.9	40.5%	39	88.6	46.2	45.9%	45
Last 5 Games	3-2	3-2	2-3	+4	84.4	44.2	42.5%	40	83.0	43.4	46.8%	42

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Phoenix - Current Season Performance
	Against Spread		Money Line		Team				Opponent
	W-L	O-U	W-L	Units	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	14-13	14-13	17-11	+0.4	83.4	42.2	43.4%	41	80.9	41.8	42.8%	43
Home Games	7-5	8-5	9-4	+3.9	85.1	41.6	44.1%	41	78.8	39.1	42.3%	43
vs. Eastern Conference	5-6	7-4	8-4	+3.1	87.2	44.5	43.9%	40	83.7	42.8	44.6%	43
Last 5 Games	2-3	1-3	2-3	-2.6	84.0	44.4	44.9%	41	86.0	47.8	43.9%	44

Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule

Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule

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Connecticut - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule
								Team Game Stats				Opponent Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
07/06/2025	LVA	Las Vegas	68-86	L	+17.5	L	157	U	24-63	38.1%	35	14	34-63	54.0%	41	14
07/09/2025	SEA	Seattle	93-83	W	+17.5	W	155	O	32-65	49.2%	41	10	31-69	44.9%	35	9
07/11/2025	@SEA	@Seattle	65-79	L	+18.5	W	157	U	21-58	36.2%	44	15	29-64	45.3%	34	7
07/13/2025	@LAS	@Los Angeles	88-92	L	+10.5	W	165	O	34-68	50.0%	40	16	35-75	46.7%	41	12
07/15/2025	IND	Indiana	77-85	L	+15.5	W	166	U	30-83	36.1%	51	8	29-59	49.2%	43	12
07/24/2025	LAS	Los Angeles	86-101	L	+6	L	170	O	29-76	38.2%	42	13	33-63	52.4%	51	15
07/27/2025	GS	Golden State	95-64	W	+6	W	156.5	O	35-66	53.0%	40	16	20-59	33.9%	39	22
07/28/2025	SEA	Seattle	85-101	L	+11	L	157.5	O	27-67	40.3%	31	13	42-69	60.9%	41	15
08/01/2025	NYL	New York	78-62	W	+11.5	W	172	U	28-69	40.6%	52	17	20-59	33.9%	36	21
08/03/2025	NYL	New York	78-87	L	+11	W	171	U	28-68	41.2%	36	13	31-62	50.0%	42	20
08/05/2025	@PHO	@Phoenix	10:00p		+14.5		165.5		-				-
08/07/2025	@LAS	@Los Angeles	10:00p						-				-
08/10/2025	@LVA	@Las Vegas	9:00p						-				-
08/11/2025	@GS	@Golden State	10:00p						-				-
08/13/2025	CHI	Chicago	7:00p						-				-

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Phoenix - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule
								Team Game Stats				Opponent Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
07/03/2025	@DAL	@Dallas	89-98	L	-11.5	L	164.5	O	28-67	41.8%	38	10	32-67	47.8%	47	15
07/07/2025	DAL	Dallas	102-72	W	-6	W	163.5	O	36-76	47.4%	51	9	27-75	36.0%	48	17
07/09/2025	MIN	Minnesota	79-71	W	+7.5	W	160.5	U	34-73	46.6%	38	9	30-70	42.9%	41	16
07/14/2025	@GS	@Golden State	78-77	W	+1.5	W	158	U	27-57	47.4%	39	14	25-74	33.8%	49	9
07/16/2025	@MIN	@Minnesota	66-79	L	+10	L	158	U	25-70	35.7%	44	12	29-68	42.6%	49	13
07/23/2025	ATL	Atlanta	79-90	L	-7.5	L	164	O	26-67	38.8%	32	8	34-68	50.0%	36	8
07/25/2025	@NYL	@New York	76-89	L	+6.5	L	170.5	U	31-77	40.3%	44	14	29-69	42.0%	49	16
07/27/2025	@WAS	@Washington	88-72	W	-7.5	W	162.5	U	35-68	51.5%	37	13	24-63	38.1%	39	17
07/30/2025	@IND	@Indiana	101-107	L	-3.5	L	167.5	O	36-73	49.3%	39	17	32-62	51.6%	38	16
08/01/2025	@ATL	@Atlanta	72-95	L	-4.5	L	167	P	27-70	38.6%	37	9	34-66	51.5%	45	7
08/03/2025	@CHI	@Chicago	83-67	W	-12.5	W	164	U	33-73	45.2%	46	9	26-70	37.1%	50	12
08/05/2025	CON	Connecticut	10:00p		-14.5		165.5		-				-
08/07/2025	IND	Indiana	10:00p						-				-
08/10/2025	ATL	Atlanta	6:00p						-				-
08/15/2025	LVA	Las Vegas	10:00p						-				-

Top Betting Systems

Top Betting Systems

Betting Systems Favoring Connecticut
	Bet on - Road teams - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days. System applies to: Connecticut. System's record since 2016: 32-10 (76.2%) with an average line of +8.2 (+21 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score in these games was Team 72.7, Opponent 86.0 The system's record this season is: (1-2, -1.2 units).
	Bet on - Road teams - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights. System applies to: Connecticut. System's record since 1997: 80-40 (66.7%) with an average line of +9.7 (+36 unit$, ROI=27.3%) The average score in these games was Team 73.9, Opponent 81.1 The system's record this season is: (2-3, -1.3 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Connecticut

Bet on - Road teams - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days.
System applies to: Connecticut.

System's record since 2016: 32-10 (76.2%) with an average line of +8.2 (+21 unit$, ROI=45.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 72.7, Opponent 86.0
The system's record this season is: (1-2, -1.2 units).

Bet on - Road teams - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights.
System applies to: Connecticut.

System's record since 1997: 80-40 (66.7%) with an average line of +9.7 (+36 unit$, ROI=27.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 73.9, Opponent 81.1
The system's record this season is: (2-3, -1.3 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Under
	Bet under - All teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in August or September games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 26-6 (81.3%) with an average total of 164.7 (+19.4 unit$, ROI=55.1%) The average score in these games was Team 79.5, Opponent 77.9 The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Under

Bet under - All teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in August or September games.
System applies to: Phoenix.

System's record since 2021: 26-6 (81.3%) with an average total of 164.7 (+19.4 unit$, ROI=55.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 79.5, Opponent 77.9
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Top Team Trends

Top Team Trends

Trends Favoring Connecticut.
	Bet on Connecticut when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). Connecticut record during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +14.6. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Sun 79.1, Opponents 81.0.
	Bet on Connecticut when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) after 15+ games. Connecticut record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +15.5. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Sun 79.0, Opponents 81.6.
	Bet on Connecticut on the money line off a home loss. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 15-6 (71%) with an average money line of -148. (+20.2 unit$, ROI=65.0%) The average score of these games was Sun 82.5, Opponents 76.5.
	Bet on Connecticut on the money line after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher. Connecticut record during the 2025 season: 4-1 (80%) with an average money line of +356. (+15.8 unit$, ROI=316.0%) The average score of these games was Sun 78.9, Opponents 77.4.
	Bet on Connecticut on the money line after 2 straight games making 5 or less 3 point shots. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -266. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=32.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 81.7, Opponents 75.1.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 3-7 (30%) with an average money line of -247. (-14.1 unit$, ROI=-56.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 80.4, Opponents 85.7.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots after 15+ games. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 1-4 (20%) with an average money line of -205. (-10.6 unit$, ROI=-103.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 82.8, Opponents 84.4.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 3-7 (30%) with an average money line of -177. (-14.1 unit$, ROI=-79.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 82.3, Opponents 86.2.

Trends Favoring Phoenix.
	Bet on Phoenix when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of -5.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 93.5, Opponents 84.0.
	Bet on Phoenix on the money line when playing their 3rd game in 5 days. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 7-2 (78%) with an average money line of -228. (+9.0 unit$, ROI=43.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 84.1, Opponents 79.0.
	Bet against Connecticut on the money line after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 8-17 (32%) with an average money line of -213. (-28.7 unit$, ROI=-53.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 79.8, Opponents 81.9.

Trends Favoring Over.
	Bet over the total in Phoenix games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 83+ points/game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 16-4 (80%) with an average over/under of 166.9. (+11.6 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 90.5, Opponents 84.8.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut games in a road game where where the first half total is 81 to 85.5. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Sun 39.8, Opponents 47.4.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games off a home loss. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.5. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Sun 42.1, Opponents 43.7.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games after playing 2 consecutive home games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 79.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Sun 38.8, Opponents 42.6.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games after playing 3 consecutive home games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 79.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 42.2, Opponents 41.3.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games after playing a home game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-3 (81%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.0. (+9.7 unit$, ROI=55.1%) The average score of these games was Sun 38.6, Opponents 43.3.

Key Coaching Trends

Key Coaching Trends

Key Coaching Trends Favoring Connecticut.
	Bet on Rachid Meziane when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). Meziane's record as coach of CONNECTICUT: 7-0 (100%) with an average line of +14.6. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was CONNECTICUT 79.1, Opponents 81.0
	Bet on Rachid Meziane on the money line after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher. Meziane's record as coach of CONNECTICUT: 4-1 (80%) with an average money line of +356. (+15.8 unit$, ROI=316.0%) The average score of these games was CONNECTICUT 78.9, Opponents 77.4
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-10 (17%) with an average money line of -107. (-15.6 unit$, ROI=-121.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 79.3, Opponents 87.7
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 8-21 (28%) with an average money line of -108. (-26.2 unit$, ROI=-83.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 78.9, Opponents 85.4

Key Coaching Trends Favoring Phoenix.
	Bet on Nate Tibbetts when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 6-0 (100%) with an average line of -5.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 93.5, Opponents 84.0

Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over.
	Bet over the total in Nate Tibbetts games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 83+ points/game. The Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 16-4 (80%) with an average over/under of 166.9. (+11.6 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 90.5, Opponents 84.8

WNBA Power Ratings

WNBA Power Ratings

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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	Power Rating
Teams	Rating	Estimate	Actual	Edge
CON	Connecticut	74			CON (+5.5)
PHO	Phoenix	81	-9	-14.5

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