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| Tuesday, 07/22/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 LAS | 615 | 8-14 | 167.5 | 167.5 | +145 | 84.5 |
 WAS | 616 | 11-11 | -2 | -3.5 | -165 | -2 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| LAS | 77 | |||
| WAS | 80 | -5 | -3.5 | WAS (+1.5) |
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| LAS | 80 | LAS (+2.5) | 40 | LAS (+1) | 29-65 | 44.1% | 8-24 | 31.9% | 15-20 | 75.3% | 41 | 7 | 15 | ||
| WAS | 82 | Un (+5) | 41 | Un (+2.8) | 29-65 | 45.0% | 6-19 | 33.1% | 17-23 | 74.8% | 42 | 8 | 15 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the spread 556 times, while Washington covered the spread 444 times. Edge against the spread=Los Angeles. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 644 games went under the total, while 356 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Washington won the game straight up 521 times, while Los Angeles won 450 times. Edge on the money line=Los Angeles. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the first half line 543 times, while Washington covered the first half line 421 times. Edge against the first half line=Los Angeles. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 623 games went under the first half total, while 377 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the 4 point teaser line 550 times, and failed to cover 450 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the 4 point teaser line 671 times, and failed to cover 329 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 469 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 531 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 745 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 255 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Los Angeles. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Los Angeles in away games on the 1st half line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Los Angeles record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Sparks 42.9, Opponents 40.7. |
| Trends Favoring Washington. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 1-13 (7%) with an average money line of +247. (-14.7 unit$, ROI=-105.0%) The average score of these games was Sparks 79.4, Opponents 88.5. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 2-13 (13%) with an average money line of +138. (-15.9 unit$, ROI=-105.7%) The average score of these games was Sparks 74.9, Opponents 84.4. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 1-12 (8%) with an average money line of +252. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-103.5%) The average score of these games was Sparks 76.9, Opponents 85.6. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 4-23 (15%) with an average money line of +199. (-24.0 unit$, ROI=-88.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 78.8, Opponents 86.0. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of -134. (-10.7 unit$, ROI=-132.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 80.8, Opponents 87.2. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 2-10 (17%) with an average money line of -117. (-17.9 unit$, ROI=-127.5%) The average score of these games was Sparks 82.4, Opponents 88.1. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 4-16 (20%) with an average money line of +146. (-21.6 unit$, ROI=-107.8%) The average score of these games was Sparks 78.2, Opponents 84.6. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles games when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 164.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 82.8, Opponents 89.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Washington away games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mystics 43.0, Opponents 42.0. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.