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Wednesday, 07/30/2025 8:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 ATL
 Atlanta
60516-11-4-3.5-165-2
 DAL
 Dallas
6068-20164.5167+14584.5

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 ATL Atlanta86-7-3.5ATL (+3.5)
 DAL Dallas77 

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 ATL Atlanta86ATL (+1.5) 43 30-6843.5%10-2834.1%17-2276.4%46812
 DAL Dallas81Un (+0.3)41Un (+0.8)30-7241.5%7-2132.8%14-1780.1%45912

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the spread 549 times, while Dallas covered the spread 451 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 490 games went over the total, while 488 games went under the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta won the game straight up 633 times, while Dallas won 338 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the first half line 488 times, while Dallas covered the first half line 471 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 526 games went under the first half total, while 474 games went over the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 562 times, and failed to cover 438 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 662 times, and failed to cover 338 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 585 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 389 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 582 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 385 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Atlanta.
Bet against Dallas on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-17 (11%) with an average money line of +173. (-19.1 unit$, ROI=-100.5%)
The average score of these games was Wings 80.8, Opponents 89.8.
Bet against Dallas in away games on the 1st half line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Dallas record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Wings 41.1, Opponents 48.6.
Trends Favoring Dallas.
Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers.
Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 1-7 (13%) with an average money line of -179. (-15.1 unit$, ROI=-105.6%)
The average score of these games was Dream 77.3, Opponents 84.5.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Dallas games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 165.2. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%)
The average score of these games was Wings 77.1, Opponents 77.9.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.