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| Friday, 08/01/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 NYL | 609 | 17-10 | -11 | -11.5 | -750 | -6.5 |
 CON | 610 | 5-21 | 165.5 | 172 | +500 | 87 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| NYL | 83 | -7 | -11.5 | |
| CON | 74 | CON (+4.5) | ||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| NYL | 89 | NYL (+2.5) | 45 | NYL (+0.5) | 31-65 | 47.3% | 10-28 | 36.6% | 17-20 | 83.3% | 43 | 7 | 13 | ||
| CON | 75 | Un (+8.8) | 37 | Un (+4.7) | 27-68 | 40.3% | 6-21 | 30.3% | 14-17 | 81.7% | 40 | 9 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the spread 575 times, while Connecticut covered the spread 425 times. Edge against the spread=New York. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 718 games went under the total, while 263 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York won the game straight up 807 times, while Connecticut won 170 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the first half line 529 times, while Connecticut covered the first half line 471 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 647 games went under the first half total, while 318 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the 4 point teaser line 537 times, and failed to cover 463 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 666 times, and failed to cover 334 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 364 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 609 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 792 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 188 failed to go under. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Under. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring New York. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on New York in away games when they allow 70 to 75 points in a game. New York record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of -7.9. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Liberty 89.3, Opponents 73.3. |
| Bet against Connecticut in away games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 1-11 (8%) ATS with an average line of +1.6. (-11.1 unit$, ROI=-84.1%). The average score of these games was Sun 84.5, Opponents 95.5. |
| Bet on New York in away games on the money line when they make 83% or more of their free throws in a game. New York record since the 2023 season: 26-4 (87%) with an average money line of -321. (+22.2 unit$, ROI=23.0%) The average score of these games was Liberty 88.1, Opponents 77.5. |
| Bet against Connecticut on the money line when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 2-19 (10%) with an average money line of +108. (-27.9 unit$, ROI=-132.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 80.9, Opponents 94.8. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in New York games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2023 season: 47-12 (80%) with an average over/under of 165.2. (+33.8 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Liberty 94.7, Opponents 82.3. |
| Bet over the total in Connecticut games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 159.7. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 85.7, Opponents 84.5. |
| Bet over the total in Connecticut games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average over/under of 159.1. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Sun 80.4, Opponents 96.0. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in New York away games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 46.7, Opponents 42.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in New York away games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 85.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=61.4%) The average score of these games was Liberty 49.8, Opponents 43.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in New York away games when they score 88 to 92 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 85.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=77.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 47.3, Opponents 49.1. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut games when they allow 88 to 92 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 42.9, Opponents 46.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Sun 39.4, Opponents 50.5. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.