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Friday, 08/01/2025 7:30 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 IND
 Indiana
61117-12-4-4-175-2
 DAL
 Dallas
6128-21167.5175+15588.5

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 IND Indiana83-4-4
 DAL Dallas77 

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 IND Indiana87 43 31-6745.8%9-2535.4%16-2079.9%42813
 DAL Dallas82Un (+6.4)41Un (+3.9)30-7042.6%6-2031.4%16-2080.6%441013

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 491 times, while Dallas covered the spread 484 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 650 games went under the total, while 324 games went over the total.
Edge against the total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 608 times, while Dallas won 363 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the first half line 501 times, while Indiana covered the first half line 466 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 631 games went under the first half total, while 369 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 598 times, and failed to cover 377 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 608 times, and failed to cover 363 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 424 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 548 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 748 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 238 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Indiana.
Bet against Dallas on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-17 (11%) with an average money line of +173. (-19.1 unit$, ROI=-100.5%)
The average score of these games was Wings 80.8, Opponents 89.8.
Bet against Dallas in away games on the 1st half line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Dallas record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Wings 41.1, Opponents 48.6.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game.
The Over's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 167.2. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%)
The average score of these games was Wings 84.9, Opponents 89.0.
Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas away games in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers.
The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 85.5. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%)
The average score of these games was Wings 43.2, Opponents 45.8.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Dallas games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 165.2. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%)
The average score of these games was Wings 77.1, Opponents 77.9.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.