WNBA - Phoenix vs. New York, 07/25/2025 - Betting Systems

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Friday, 07/25/2025 7:30 PM (ET)
	Gm#	Record	Open	Latest	ML	1H
PHO	Phoenix	603	15-8	169.5	170.5	+210	86
NYL	New York	604	16-6	-5.5	-6.5	-270	-3.5

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Tip Sheet Simulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team Stats Schedule & Results Head-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!

Team Stats Summary Comparison

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Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.

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Phoenix - Current Season Performance
	Against Spread		Money Line		Team				Opponent
	W-L	O-U	W-L	Units	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	12-10	13-10	15-8	+3	83.2	41.7	43.1%	41	79.8	40.4	42.6%	43
Road Games	5-5	5-5	6-4	-0.8	80.8	41.8	41.7%	41	81.1	42.2	42.9%	43
vs. Eastern Conference	3-3	6-1	6-1	+5.7	89.4	44.6	43.3%	39	82.0	39.3	45.0%	41
Last 5 Games	3-2	2-3	3-2	+0.2	80.8	39.0	43.1%	41	77.8	38.8	40.8%	45

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New York - Current Season Performance
	Against Spread		Money Line		Team				Opponent
	W-L	O-U	W-L	Units	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	10-11	12-9	16-6	-2.3	87.4	44.8	45.4%	41	79.4	40.2	41.2%	44
Home Games	8-4	5-7	11-2	-2.6	87.8	43.8	46.0%	41	75.3	37.9	39.7%	43
vs. Western Conference	3-6	4-5	6-4	-7.6	84.7	42.2	43.2%	42	82.0	41.1	41.8%	45
Last 5 Games	4-1	2-3	4-1	+1.9	86.4	42.0	44.8%	40	78.0	41.8	40.5%	43

Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule

Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule

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Phoenix - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule
								Team Game Stats				Opponent Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
06/21/2025	@CHI	@Chicago	107-86	W	-11	W	160	O	35-68	51.5%	39	19	30-57	52.6%	27	20
06/27/2025	NYL	New York	106-91	W	-1.5	W	168	O	41-78	52.6%	39	12	33-65	50.8%	37	12
06/29/2025	LVA	Las Vegas	81-84	L	-5	L	168.5	U	27-71	38.0%	43	11	26-60	43.3%	42	12
07/03/2025	@DAL	@Dallas	89-98	L	-11.5	L	164.5	O	28-67	41.8%	38	10	32-67	47.8%	47	15
07/07/2025	DAL	Dallas	102-72	W	-6	W	163.5	O	36-76	47.4%	51	9	27-75	36.0%	48	17
07/09/2025	MIN	Minnesota	79-71	W	+7.5	W	160.5	U	34-73	46.6%	38	9	30-70	42.9%	41	16
07/14/2025	@GS	@Golden State	78-77	W	+1.5	W	158	U	27-57	47.4%	39	14	25-74	33.8%	49	9
07/16/2025	@MIN	@Minnesota	66-79	L	+10	L	158	U	25-70	35.7%	44	12	29-68	42.6%	49	13
07/23/2025	ATL	Atlanta	79-90	L	-7.5	L	164	O	26-67	38.8%	32	8	34-68	50.0%	36	8
07/25/2025	@NYL	@New York	7:30p		+6.5		170.5		-				-
07/27/2025	@WAS	@Washington	6:00p						-				-
07/30/2025	@IND	@Indiana	7:00p						-				-
08/01/2025	@ATL	@Atlanta	7:30p						-				-
08/03/2025	@CHI	@Chicago	6:00p						-				-
08/05/2025	CON	Connecticut	10:00p						-				-

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New York - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule
								Team Game Stats				Opponent Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
06/22/2025	@SEA	@Seattle	79-89	L	+4	L	160	O	28-63	44.4%	43	20	35-82	42.7%	44	10
06/25/2025	@GS	@Golden State	81-78	W	-9.5	L	163.5	U	26-72	36.1%	44	8	28-72	38.9%	50	10
06/27/2025	@PHO	@Phoenix	91-106	L	+1.5	L	168	O	33-65	50.8%	37	12	41-78	52.6%	39	12
06/29/2025	@ATL	@Atlanta	81-90	L	+1	L	166	O	30-68	44.1%	36	13	37-70	52.9%	48	13
07/03/2025	LAS	Los Angeles	89-79	W	-10	P	171	U	30-70	42.9%	35	13	27-56	48.2%	42	17
07/06/2025	SEA	Seattle	70-79	L	-5	L	167.5	U	24-68	35.3%	43	15	32-71	45.1%	47	10
07/08/2025	LVA	Las Vegas	87-78	W	-4	W	166	U	30-70	42.9%	45	9	25-61	41.0%	40	16
07/13/2025	ATL	Atlanta	79-72	W	-6	W	164.5	U	30-78	38.5%	42	6	24-64	37.5%	58	15
07/16/2025	IND	Indiana	98-77	W	-10	W	163	O	37-64	57.8%	36	13	28-76	36.8%	42	12
07/22/2025	IND	Indiana	98-84	W	-10.5	W	163.5	O	33-64	51.6%	34	19	31-74	41.9%	30	19
07/25/2025	PHO	Phoenix	7:30p		-6.5		170.5		-				-
07/26/2025	LAS	Los Angeles	7:00p						-				-
07/28/2025	@DAL	@Dallas	8:00p						-				-
07/30/2025	@MIN	@Minnesota	8:00p						-				-
08/01/2025	@CON	@Connecticut	7:30p						-				-
08/03/2025	@CON	@Connecticut	1:00p						-				-
08/05/2025	DAL	Dallas	7:00p						-				-

Top Betting Systems

Top Betting Systems

Betting Systems Favoring Phoenix
	Bet against - Home teams vs. the money line - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2021: 21-18 (53.8%) with an average money line of +289 (+42.6 unit$, ROI=109.2%) The average score in these games was Team 79.8, Opponent 85.6 The system's record this season is: (3-1, +1.9 units).
	Bet on - Road teams vs. the money line - after allowing 85 points or more against opponent after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 20-10 (66.7%) with an average money line of +205 (+30.9 unit$, ROI=103.0%) The average score in these games was Team 81.9, Opponent 84.2 The system's record this season is: (4-1, +2.9 units).
	Bet against - Home teams vs. the money line - good offensive team - scoring 83+ points/game on the season, after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2021: 24-17 (58.5%) with an average money line of +241 (+40.9 unit$, ROI=99.6%) The average score in these games was Team 81.3, Opponent 86.3 The system's record this season is: (4-0, +4.0 units).
	Bet against - Home teams vs. the money line - after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2021: 44-31 (58.7%) with an average money line of +179 (+47.9 unit$, ROI=63.9%) The average score in these games was Team 81.1, Opponent 83.1 The system's record this season is: (6-3, +2.7 units).
	Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after 2 or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 43-7 (86%) with an average money line of +101 (+36.6 unit$, ROI=73.2%) The average score in these games was Team 86.3, Opponent 77.8 The system's record this season is: (5-0, +5.0 units).
	Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after 2 or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 49-11 (81.7%) with an average money line of +102 (+39 unit$, ROI=65.0%) The average score in these games was Team 85.3, Opponent 78.1 The system's record this season is: (6-0, +6.0 units).
	Bet on - Any team vs the money line - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2016: 45-13 (77.6%) with an average money line of -105 (+31.4 unit$, ROI=51.7%) The average score in these games was Team 84.5, Opponent 78.9 The system's record this season is: (2-1, +0.9 units).
	Bet against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 1997: 30-8 (78.9%) with an average first half line of +2.9 (+21.2 unit$, ROI=50.7%) The average score in these games was Team 39.4, Opponent 38.1 The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).
	Bet on - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 1997: 25-5 (83.3%) with an average first half line of +3.3 (+19.5 unit$, ROI=59.1%) The average score in these games was Team 43.6, Opponent 42.9 The system's record this season is: (1-0, +1.0 units).
	Bet against - All favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 1997: 32-10 (76.2%) with an average first half line of +2.8 (+21 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score in these games was Team 38.8, Opponent 37.3 The system's record this season is: (1-0, +1.0 units).
	Bet against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - in a game involving two average defensive teams (75-82 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 1997: 32-9 (78%) with an average first half line of +3.4 (+22.1 unit$, ROI=49.0%) The average score in these games was Team 42.6, Opponent 41.5 The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).
	Bet against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 90 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 1997: 46-17 (73%) with an average first half line of +3.5 (+27.3 unit$, ROI=39.4%) The average score in these games was Team 41.7, Opponent 42.4 The system's record this season is: (2-0, +2.0 units).
	Bet against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. System applies to: New York. System's record since 1997: 86-44 (66.2%) with an average first half line of +3.5 (+37.6 unit$, ROI=26.3%) The average score in these games was Team 41.0, Opponent 41.9 The system's record this season is: (3-0, +3.0 units).

Betting Systems Favoring New York
	Bet on - Any team vs the money line - good shooting team (43.5-46%) against an average shooting team (40.5-43.5%), after 2 straight games making 10 or more 3 point shots. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2021: 24-5 (82.8%) with an average money line of +102 (+19.5 unit$, ROI=67.4%) The average score in these games was Team 89.3, Opponent 80.5 The system's record this season is: (2-0, +2.0 units).
	Bet on - Any team vs the money line - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2021: 41-14 (74.5%) with an average money line of +102 (+27.6 unit$, ROI=50.3%) The average score in these games was Team 85.0, Opponent 79.0 The system's record this season is: (6-1, +4.9 units).
	Bet on - Home teams vs. the money line - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off a home loss. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2016: 25-3 (89.3%) with an average money line of -112 (+21.6 unit$, ROI=69.2%) The average score in these games was Team 85.1, Opponent 74.9 The system's record this season is: (3-1, +1.9 units).
	Bet against - Any team vs the money line - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2021: 30-8 (78.9%) with an average money line of -112 (+21 unit$, ROI=49.5%) The average score in these games was Team 86.1, Opponent 76.9 The system's record this season is: (2-2, -0.2 units).
	Bet on - Any team vs the money line - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off a home loss. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2016: 50-18 (73.5%) with an average money line of -121 (+28.1 unit$, ROI=34.1%) The average score in these games was Team 84.9, Opponent 77.7 The system's record this season is: (6-2, +3.8 units).
	Bet against - All underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good offensive team - scoring 83+ points/game on the season, after allowing 90 points or more. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2016: 51-20 (71.8%) with an average first half line of -3.3 (+29 unit$, ROI=37.1%) The average score in these games was Team 45.8, Opponent 38.6 The system's record this season is: (1-1, -0.1 units).
	Bet against - All underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good offensive team - scoring 83+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2016: 73-34 (68.2%) with an average first half line of -3.3 (+35.6 unit$, ROI=30.2%) The average score in these games was Team 45.6, Opponent 38.9 The system's record this season is: (1-3, -2.3 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Over
	Bet over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 86 - in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%), after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better. System applies to: New York. System's record since 2016: 47-18 (72.3%) with an average first half total of 87.4 (+27.2 unit$, ROI=38.0%) The average score in these games was Team 46.5, Opponent 44.2 The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).
	Bet over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 86 - in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%). System applies to: New York. System's record since 2016: 74-34 (68.5%) with an average first half total of 87.3 (+36.6 unit$, ROI=30.8%) The average score in these games was Team 45.3, Opponent 45.3 The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).
	Bet over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 86 - in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%). System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2016: 74-34 (68.5%) with an average first half total of 87.3 (+36.6 unit$, ROI=30.8%) The average score in these games was Team 45.3, Opponent 45.3 The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Over

Bet over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 86 - in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%), after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better.
System applies to: New York.

System's record since 2016: 47-18 (72.3%) with an average first half total of 87.4 (+27.2 unit$, ROI=38.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 46.5, Opponent 44.2
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 86 - in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%).
System applies to: New York.

System's record since 2016: 74-34 (68.5%) with an average first half total of 87.3 (+36.6 unit$, ROI=30.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 45.3, Opponent 45.3
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 86 - in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%).
System applies to: Phoenix.

Top Team Trends

Top Team Trends

Trends Favoring Phoenix.
	Bet against New York in away games after 2 straight games with 23 or more assists. New York record since the 2023 season: 3-14 (18%) ATS with an average line of -10.2. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-62.6%). The average score of these games was Liberty 86.6, Opponents 83.8.
	Bet against New York in away games off a home win by 10 points or more. New York record since the 2024 season: 1-8 (11%) ATS with an average line of -11.6. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%). The average score of these games was Liberty 84.6, Opponents 79.8.
	Bet against New York after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games. New York record since the 2024 season: 5-17 (23%) ATS with an average line of -9.4. (-13.7 unit$, ROI=-56.6%). The average score of these games was Liberty 86.3, Opponents 80.7.
	Bet against New York in away games hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=45% of their shots. New York record since the 2023 season: 3-14 (18%) ATS with an average line of -11.6. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-66.3%). The average score of these games was Liberty 86.8, Opponents 80.1.
	Bet against New York in away games on the 1st half line after a cover as a double digit favorite. New York record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -5.5. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Liberty 37.7, Opponents 43.0.

Trends Favoring New York.
	Bet against Phoenix as a road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 2-13 (13%) ATS with an average line of +6.4. (-12.3 unit$, ROI=-69.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 71.2, Opponents 84.3.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on Fridays. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 0-8 (0%) ATS with an average line of +3.8. (-8.8 unit$, ROI=-88.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.4, Opponents 88.0.
	Bet against Phoenix after playing a game as a home favorite. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-14 (18%) ATS with an average line of -0.3. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-66.3%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.5, Opponents 83.9.
	Bet against Phoenix versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-14 (18%) ATS with an average line of +3.6. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-62.6%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.3, Opponents 85.2.
	Bet against Phoenix when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 2-12 (14%) ATS with an average line of +5.4. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-72.7%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.1, Opponents 88.0.
	Bet against Phoenix versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-22 (12%) ATS with an average line of +5.7. (-21.2 unit$, ROI=-77.1%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.1, Opponents 89.0.
	Bet against Phoenix versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-15 (17%) ATS with an average line of +6.9. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-68.2%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.6, Opponents 87.9.
	Bet on New York on the money line after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. New York record since the 2023 season: 21-3 (88%) with an average money line of -393. (+18.6 unit$, ROI=19.7%) The average score of these games was Liberty 86.8, Opponents 76.7.
	Bet on New York on the money line after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. New York record since the 2023 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average money line of -408. (+12.7 unit$, ROI=23.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 87.4, Opponents 77.1.
	Bet on New York on the money line off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. New York record since the 2023 season: 21-3 (88%) with an average money line of -401. (+18.4 unit$, ROI=19.0%) The average score of these games was Liberty 87.1, Opponents 78.9.
	Bet on New York on the money line after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. New York record since the 2023 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average money line of -314. (+14.6 unit$, ROI=25.8%) The average score of these games was Liberty 87.1, Opponents 76.1.
	Bet on New York on the money line off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals. New York record since the 2024 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average money line of -470. (+10.6 unit$, ROI=17.3%) The average score of these games was Liberty 87.6, Opponents 75.4.
	Bet on New York on the money line after a combined score of 175 points or more. New York record since the 2024 season: 16-1 (94%) with an average money line of -306. (+16.1 unit$, ROI=30.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 88.2, Opponents 74.8.
	Bet on New York on the money line after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. New York record since the 2023 season: 16-3 (84%) with an average money line of -417. (+12.6 unit$, ROI=15.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 85.7, Opponents 78.9.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-21 (22%) with an average money line of +167. (-21.6 unit$, ROI=-80.0%) The average score of these games was Mercury 77.3, Opponents 85.6.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line off a upset loss as a favorite. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 1-6 (14%) with an average money line of +163. (-11.5 unit$, ROI=-164.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 74.5, Opponents 88.1.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line after playing a game as a home favorite. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-14 (18%) with an average money line of -148. (-22.5 unit$, ROI=-89.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.5, Opponents 83.9.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-12 (20%) with an average money line of +131. (-12.8 unit$, ROI=-85.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 80.5, Opponents 87.7.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-19 (24%) with an average money line of +155. (-20.3 unit$, ROI=-81.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.0, Opponents 87.9.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 6-19 (24%) with an average money line of +155. (-20.3 unit$, ROI=-81.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.0, Opponents 87.9.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good shooting teams - making >=44% of their shots after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-11 (8%) with an average money line of +188. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-93.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.3, Opponents 88.8.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 2-9 (18%) with an average money line of -118. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-112.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 79.5, Opponents 87.5.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 5-18 (22%) with an average money line of +159. (-20.3 unit$, ROI=-88.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 77.5, Opponents 87.7.
	Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 8-26 (24%) with an average money line of +191. (-21.3 unit$, ROI=-62.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 76.4, Opponents 86.5.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-15 (17%) with an average money line of +173. (-14.3 unit$, ROI=-79.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 74.3, Opponents 85.2.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-13 (7%) with an average money line of +208. (-12.8 unit$, ROI=-91.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 74.1, Opponents 88.0.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-24 (4%) with an average money line of +213. (-23.8 unit$, ROI=-95.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 74.1, Opponents 89.0.
	Bet against Phoenix on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 8-18 (31%) with an average money line of -107. (-21.5 unit$, ROI=-77.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.4, Opponents 84.0.

Trends Favoring Over.
	Bet over the total in New York games after a game with 4 or less offensive rebounds. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 164.4. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%) The average score of these games was Liberty 89.8, Opponents 84.4.
	Bet over the total in New York games off a home win against a division rival. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 164.1. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 90.2, Opponents 86.0.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 20-5 (80%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+14.5 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.4, Opponents 47.4.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 46.2, Opponents 49.5.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.8, Opponents 48.9.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 38.1, Opponents 50.5.
	Bet over the 1st half total in New York games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 46.0, Opponents 41.3.
	Bet over the 1st half total in New York games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 21-6 (78%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.5. (+14.4 unit$, ROI=48.5%) The average score of these games was Liberty 45.7, Opponents 41.7.
	Bet over the 1st half total in New York away games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 44.6, Opponents 42.9.
	Bet over the 1st half total in New York games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 51.2, Opponents 41.4.
	Bet over the 1st half total in New York games after 2 straight games making 80% of their free throws or better. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Liberty 47.5, Opponents 42.6.
	Bet over the 1st half total in New York games after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 55-22 (71%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+30.8 unit$, ROI=35.4%) The average score of these games was Liberty 46.3, Opponents 40.5.

Key Coaching Trends

Key Coaching Trends

Key Coaching Trends Favoring Phoenix.
	Bet against Sandy Brondello in road games after 2 straight games with 23 or more assists. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 3-16 (16%) with an average line of -9.8. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-66.4%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 85.2, Opponents 83.1
	Bet against Sandy Brondello in road games on the 1st half line after a cover as a double digit favorite. Brondello's record on the 1st half line as coach of NEW YORK: 1-9 (10%) with an average line of -6.0. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 39.2, Opponents 42.2
	Bet against Sandy Brondello in road games on the 1st half line off an home win scoring 95 or more points. Brondello's record on the 1st half line as coach of NEW YORK: 1-8 (11%) with an average line of -7.5. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 40.0, Opponents 42.4
	Bet against Sandy Brondello in road games on the 1st half line after a combined score of 175 points or more. Brondello's record on the 1st half line as coach of NEW YORK: 13-32 (29%) with an average line of -5.0. (-22.2 unit$, ROI=-41.2%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 43.1, Opponents 42.9

Key Coaching Trends Favoring New York.
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts after playing a game as a home favorite. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-14 (18%) with an average line of -0.3. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-66.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.5, Opponents 83.9
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-14 (18%) with an average line of +3.6. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-62.6%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.3, Opponents 85.2
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-12 (14%) with an average line of +5.4. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-72.7%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.1, Opponents 88.0
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-22 (12%) with an average line of +5.7. (-21.2 unit$, ROI=-77.1%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.1, Opponents 89.0
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-15 (17%) with an average line of +6.9. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-68.2%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.6, Opponents 87.9
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 14-3 (82%) with an average money line of -336. (+13.2 unit$, ROI=23.1%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 83.9, Opponents 77.4
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line off a home win by 10 points or more. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 22-4 (85%) with an average money line of -422. (+20.3 unit$, ROI=18.5%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 86.1, Opponents 77.8
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 23-6 (79%) with an average money line of -336. (+20.7 unit$, ROI=21.2%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 86.0, Opponents 79.5
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 16-3 (84%) with an average money line of -296. (+13.6 unit$, ROI=24.2%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 87.1, Opponents 76.7
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line after a cover as a double digit favorite. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 14-3 (82%) with an average money line of -411. (+10.4 unit$, ROI=14.9%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 87.6, Opponents 80.3
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 25-11 (69%) with an average money line of -172. (+23.8 unit$, ROI=38.5%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 84.1, Opponents 80.8
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line revenging a same season loss versus opponent. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 29-13 (69%) with an average money line of -193. (+19.9 unit$, ROI=24.6%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 83.9, Opponents 79.4
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 18-4 (82%) with an average money line of -382. (+13.6 unit$, ROI=16.2%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 84.8, Opponents 78.7
	Bet on Sandy Brondello on the money line versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 83+ points/game. Brondello's record as coach of NEW YORK: 33-16 (67%) with an average money line of -159. (+25.4 unit$, ROI=32.6%) The average score of these games was NEW YORK 86.6, Opponents 82.7
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line after playing a game as a home favorite. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-14 (18%) with an average money line of -148. (-22.5 unit$, ROI=-89.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.5, Opponents 83.9
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=33% of their attempts after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-12 (20%) with an average money line of +131. (-12.8 unit$, ROI=-85.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 80.5, Opponents 87.7
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good shooting teams - making >=44% of their shots after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-11 (8%) with an average money line of +188. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-93.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 78.3, Opponents 88.8
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-9 (18%) with an average money line of -118. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-112.7%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 79.5, Opponents 87.5
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-15 (17%) with an average money line of +173. (-14.3 unit$, ROI=-79.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.3, Opponents 85.2
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-13 (7%) with an average money line of +208. (-12.8 unit$, ROI=-91.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.1, Opponents 88.0
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-24 (4%) with an average money line of +213. (-23.8 unit$, ROI=-95.2%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.1, Opponents 89.0
	Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 8-18 (31%) with an average money line of -107. (-21.5 unit$, ROI=-77.2%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 78.4, Opponents 84.0

Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over.
	Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 46.2, Opponents 49.5
	Bet over the 1st half total in Nate Tibbetts road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 11-2 (85%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 41.8, Opponents 48.9
	Bet over the 1st half total in Sandy Brondello games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. The 1st half Over's record as coach of NEW YORK: 27-10 (73%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+16.0 unit$, ROI=39.3%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 44.4, Opponents 42.6
	Bet over the 1st half total in Sandy Brondello games on Friday. The 1st half Over's record as coach of NEW YORK: 19-6 (76%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+12.4 unit$, ROI=45.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 44.6, Opponents 41.8
	Bet over the 1st half total in Sandy Brondello road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The 1st half Over's record as coach of NEW YORK: 8-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 44.6, Opponents 43.0
	Bet over the 1st half total in Sandy Brondello games after 2 straight games making 80% of their free throws or better. The 1st half Over's record as coach of NEW YORK: 45-20 (69%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+23.0 unit$, ROI=31.2%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 44.4, Opponents 41.1
	Bet over the 1st half total in Sandy Brondello games after playing a game as favorite. The 1st half Over's record as coach of NEW YORK: 77-38 (67%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+35.2 unit$, ROI=27.4%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 44.7, Opponents 40.7
	Bet over the 1st half total in Sandy Brondello games after having won 4 of their last 5 games. The 1st half Over's record as coach of NEW YORK: 41-18 (69%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=32.1%) The average 1st half score of these games was NEW YORK 45.3, Opponents 41.0

WNBA Game Simulation

WNBA Game Simulation

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
	Scores, Edges						Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
Teams	Score	Edge		H1Score	Edge		3FGM-A	Pct.	3FGM-A	Pct.	FTM-A	Pct.	Tot.	OFF	TO
PHO	Phoenix	80	PHO (+0.5)		40	PHO (+0.5)		29-70	42.0%	10-29	34.1%	11-14	77.0%	42	8	14
NYL	New York	86		Un (+4.9)	43		Un (+2.6)	30-65	45.6%	10-27	36.3%	17-20	84.0%	43	6	14

WNBA Power Ratings

WNBA Power Ratings

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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	Power Rating
Teams	Rating	Estimate	Actual	Edge
PHO	Phoenix	82
NYL	New York	88	-8	-6.5	NYL (+1.5)

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