StatSharp Logo
MLB Betting Systems Report
View the best Over/Under and Money Line betting systems for upcoming games. Sort by game, ROI, winning percentage, or units won to find top picks.

Swipe left to see more →

Money Line BettingRun Line Betting Over/Under Betting
Current View: Records vs. money line, sorted by game.
Saturday, May 03, 2025
San Diego at Pittsburgh - Saturday, 05/03/2025 4:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring Pittsburgh
Bet on - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a tired bullpen - after 4 straight games throwing 4+ innings.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 47-21 (69.1%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+110  (+30.8 unit$, ROI=45.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 4.0
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 35 (51.5% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Saturday.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 103-57 (64.4%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+105  (+50.8 unit$, ROI=31.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 83 (51.9% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-3, +1.6 units).

Minnesota at Boston - Saturday, 05/03/2025 4:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Boston
Bet against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games.
System applies to: Minnesota.

System's record since 1997: 47-23 (67.1%) with an average run line of -0.1, money line=+119  (+33.1 unit$, ROI=47.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.3
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 34 (48.6% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (1-1, +0.6 units).

Seattle at Texas - Saturday, 05/03/2025 7:05 PM - Matchup
Favoring Texas
Bet against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line - after 2 straight wins by 6 runs or more against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games.
System applies to: Seattle.

System's record since 2021: 33-11 (75%) with an average run line of +0.6, money line=+109  (+24.9 unit$, ROI=56.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 3.9
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 25 (56.8% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (3-0, +3.0 units).

Bet against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games.
System applies to: Seattle.

System's record since 2021: 52-24 (68.4%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+112  (+34.2 unit$, ROI=45.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 4.5
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 37 (48.7% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (1-0, +1.0 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 1997: 95-53 (64.2%) with an average run line of +0.4, money line=+106  (+48.1 unit$, ROI=32.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.5, Opponent 4.0
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 69 (46.6% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-0, +2.6 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Saturday.
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 2021: 103-57 (64.4%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+105  (+50.8 unit$, ROI=31.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 83 (51.9% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-3, +1.6 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.410) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Texas.

System's record since 1997: 105-59 (64%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+104  (+50.6 unit$, ROI=30.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 4.2
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 76 (46.3% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-0, +4.6 units).

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee - Saturday, 05/03/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Milwaukee
Bet against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - very good offensive team - scoring >=5.0 runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Chicago Cubs.

System's record since 2021: 45-18 (71.4%) with an average run line of +0.2, money line=+105  (+29.1 unit$, ROI=46.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 3.6
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 34 (54.0% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (2-3, -2.0 units).

LA Dodgers at Atlanta - Saturday, 05/03/2025 7:15 PM - Matchup
Favoring LA Dodgers
Bet against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after a one run win.
System applies to: Atlanta.

System's record since 2021: 82-43 (65.6%) with an average run line of -0.2, money line=+111  (+47.9 unit$, ROI=38.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 4.0
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 65 (52.0% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-4, +3.2 units).

Detroit at LA Angels - Saturday, 05/03/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Favoring Detroit
Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - after hitting 3 or more home runs in 2 consecutive games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games.
System applies to: Detroit.

System's record since 2021: 34-10 (77.3%) with an average run line of -0.8, money line=+112  (+28 unit$, ROI=63.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.7, Opponent 3.0
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 23 (52.3% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - after hitting 3 or more home runs in 2 consecutive games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games.
System applies to: Detroit.

System's record since 2021: 60-28 (68.2%) with an average run line of -0.8, money line=+106  (+35.4 unit$, ROI=40.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 3.6
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 39 (44.3% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Favoring LA Angels
Bet against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line - after 2 straight wins by 6 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more.
System applies to: Detroit.

System's record since 2021: 35-11 (76.1%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+110  (+27.5 unit$, ROI=59.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.7, Opponent 4.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 29 (63.0% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (3-0, +3.0 units).

Bet against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA>=6.20) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games.
System applies to: Detroit.

System's record since 1997: 63-29 (68.5%) with an average run line of +0.7, money line=+108  (+39 unit$, ROI=42.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 4.2
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 48 (52.2% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).