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MLB Betting Systems Report
View the best Over/Under and Money Line betting systems for upcoming games. Sort by game, ROI, winning percentage, or units won to find top picks.

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Money Line BettingRun Line Betting Over/Under Betting
Current View: Records vs. money line, sorted by game.
Friday, July 18, 2025
Boston at Chicago Cubs - Friday, 07/18/2025 2:20 PM - Matchup
Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 40-16 (71.4%) with an average run line of -0.4, money line=+112  (+28.9 unit$, ROI=51.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.6, Opponent 3.4
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 35 (62.5% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (3-1, +2.6 units).

Chi White Sox at Pittsburgh - Friday, 07/18/2025 6:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Chi White Sox
Bet against - Any team against a 1.5 run line - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average AL starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 97-52 (65.1%) with an average run line of +0.3, money line=+104  (+48.9 unit$, ROI=32.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 4.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 69 (46.3% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (8-4, +4.3 units).

Bet against - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL).
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 88-25 (77.9%) with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-157  (+48.9 unit$, ROI=27.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 3.7
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 56 (49.6% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (16-4, +9.4 units).

Bet against - Any team against a 1.5 run line - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average AL starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 126-74 (63%) with an average run line of +0.4, money line=+101  (+53.7 unit$, ROI=26.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 4.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 90 (45.0% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (9-4, +5.3 units).

Bet against - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL).
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 96-29 (76.8%) with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-158  (+50.3 unit$, ROI=25.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 3.7
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 62 (49.6% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (18-5, +9.8 units).

Bet against - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL).
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 95-29 (76.6%) with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-158  (+49.3 unit$, ROI=25.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.8
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 64 (51.6% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (14-4, +7.3 units).

Kansas City at Miami - Friday, 07/18/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Miami
Bet against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
System applies to: Kansas City.

System's record since 2021: 54-29 (65.1%) with an average run line of -0.2, money line=+112  (+31.3 unit$, ROI=37.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 3.6
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 45 (54.2% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (4-8, -4.2 units).

NY Yankees at Atlanta - Friday, 07/18/2025 7:15 PM - Matchup
Favoring Atlanta
Bet on - Home teams against a 1.5 run line - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an excellent AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.
System applies to: Atlanta.

System's record since 2021: 40-20 (66.7%) with an average run line of -0.8, money line=+133  (+33.4 unit$, ROI=55.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 3.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 31 (51.7% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-6, +0.2 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a 1.5 run line - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an excellent AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL).
System applies to: Atlanta.

System's record since 1997: 34-13 (72.3%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+111  (+24.7 unit$, ROI=52.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.9
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 21 (44.7% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (1-4, -3.3 units).

Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a top level AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.60, WHIP<=1.300), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
System applies to: Atlanta.

System's record since 2021: 37-15 (71.2%) with an average run line of +0.6, money line=+106  (+24.1 unit$, ROI=46.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 3.4
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 30 (57.7% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-3, +2.0 units).

Bet on - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an excellent AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.
System applies to: Atlanta.

System's record since 2021: 46-22 (67.6%) with an average run line of +0, money line=+109  (+28.1 unit$, ROI=41.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.7
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 33 (48.5% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (7-5, +2.3 units).

Minnesota at Colorado - Friday, 07/18/2025 8:40 PM - Matchup
Favoring Colorado
Bet on - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-130 to +110) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20%, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games.
System applies to: Colorado.

System's record since 1997: 55-22 (71.4%) with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-108  (+31.3 unit$, ROI=37.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 5.2
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 40 (51.9% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (0-1, -1.3 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a 1.5 run line - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest.
System applies to: Colorado.

System's record since 2021: 69-39 (63.9%) with an average run line of +0.6, money line=+113  (+38.7 unit$, ROI=35.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.5, Opponent 4.3
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 55 (50.9% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (5-3, +2.4 units).

Bet against - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line Price =+115 to +160) - with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games.
System applies to: Minnesota.

System's record since 2021: 73-25 (74.5%) with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-132  (+40.1 unit$, ROI=31.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.2, Opponent 4.5
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 44 (44.9% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (7-4, +1.8 units).

Houston at Seattle - Friday, 07/18/2025 10:10 PM - Matchup
Favoring Seattle
Bet against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, playing on Friday.
System applies to: Houston.

System's record since 2021: 43-19 (69.4%) with an average run line of -0.1, money line=+107  (+26.9 unit$, ROI=43.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.7, Opponent 4.1
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 35 (56.5% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (6-5, +0.6 units).

Bet on - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Seattle.

System's record since 2021: 70-30 (70%) with an average run line of +0.4, money line=+103  (+41.8 unit$, ROI=41.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 3.7
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 57 (57.0% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (9-4, +5.4 units).

Bet on - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Seattle.

System's record since 2021: 83-39 (68%) with an average run line of +0.3, money line=+101  (+44.7 unit$, ROI=36.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 3.9
The number of games in this system which covered the run line by 1 or more runs as 66 (54.1% of all games.)
The system's record during the 2025 season is: (10-4, +6.7 units).