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MLB Top Starting Pitcher Trends

Explore top team and manager betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the money line, run line, and over/under. Select records from various time windows.

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Team TrendsManager TrendsStarting Pitcher vs. Money LineStarting Pitcher vs. Run LineStarting Pitcher vs. Over/Under
Current View: Starting Pitcher trends, records vs. money line.
Wednesday, July 09, 2025
Toronto at Chi White Sox - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 2:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Chi White Sox
Bet on ADRIAN HOUSER in home starts on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record.
HOUSER's team record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of +103.5. (+8.3 unit$, ROI=83.1%).
The average score of these games was HOUSER's team 3.8, Opponents 2.1.
LA Dodgers at Milwaukee - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 2:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring LA Dodgers
Bet against JOSE QUINTANA on the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
QUINTANA's team record since the 2023 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of +129.2. (-6.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was QUINTANA's team 1.2, Opponents 5.2.
Trends Favoring Milwaukee
Bet on JOSE QUINTANA on the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175.
QUINTANA's team record since the 2024 season: 10-3 (77%) with an average money line of +136.2. (+10.6 unit$, ROI=81.7%).
The average score of these games was QUINTANA's team 7.5, Opponents 3.2.
Bet against TYLER GLASNOW in away starts on the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season.
GLASNOW's team record in his career: 2-11 (15%) with an average money line of +113.5. (-8.7 unit$, ROI=-67.2%).
The average score of these games was GLASNOW's team 4.0, Opponents 5.9.
Philadelphia at San Francisco - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 3:45 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Philadelphia
Bet against JUSTIN VERLANDER on the money line when the money line is +125 to -125.
VERLANDER's team record since the 2024 season: 1-9 (10%) with an average money line of -101.0. (-8.1 unit$, ROI=-80.1%).
The average score of these games was VERLANDER's team 2.8, Opponents 5.5.
Bet against JUSTIN VERLANDER in home starts on the money line when playing against a team with a winning record.
VERLANDER's team record since the 2023 season: 4-13 (24%) with an average money line of -138.5. (-14.0 unit$, ROI=-59.5%).
The average score of these games was VERLANDER's team 2.8, Opponents 4.2.
Trends Favoring San Francisco
Bet against JESUS LUZARDO in away starts on the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.
LUZARDO's team record in his career: 4-16 (20%) with an average money line of -123.0. (-15.7 unit$, ROI=-63.7%).
The average score of these games was LUZARDO's team 2.8, Opponents 5.8.
Tampa Bay at Detroit - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 5:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Detroit
Bet against ZACK LITTELL on the money line when playing on Wednesday.
LITTELL's team record in his career: 1-8 (11%) with an average money line of -103.3. (-7.3 unit$, ROI=-78.1%).
The average score of these games was LITTELL's team 2.3, Opponents 4.2.
Colorado at Boston - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 7:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Colorado
Bet against LUCAS GIOLITO in home starts on the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season.
GIOLITO's team record in his career: 7-18 (28%) with an average money line of -142.0. (-18.6 unit$, ROI=-52.3%).
The average score of these games was GIOLITO's team 4.4, Opponents 6.3.
Bet against LUCAS GIOLITO on the money line in the second half of the season.
GIOLITO's team record since the 2023 season: 3-14 (18%) with an average money line of +110.9. (-10.7 unit$, ROI=-62.8%).
The average score of these games was GIOLITO's team 5.0, Opponents 6.8.
Trends Favoring Boston
Bet against ANTONIO SENZATELA on the money line as an underdog of +200 or more.
SENZATELA's team record in his career: 1-22 (4%) with an average money line of +235.7. (-19.6 unit$, ROI=-85.4%).
The average score of these games was SENZATELA's team 2.9, Opponents 6.9.
Chicago Cubs at Minnesota - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 7:40 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet against DAVID FESTA in home starts on the money line in the second half of the season.
FESTA's team record in his career: 1-6 (14%) with an average money line of -156.4. (-8.4 unit$, ROI=-76.6%).
The average score of these games was FESTA's team 3.4, Opponents 5.9.
Bet against DAVID FESTA in home starts on the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season.
FESTA's team record in his career: 1-6 (14%) with an average money line of -156.4. (-8.4 unit$, ROI=-76.6%).
The average score of these games was FESTA's team 3.4, Opponents 5.9.
Pittsburgh at Kansas City - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 7:40 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Kansas City
Bet on KRIS BUBIC on the money line when playing against a team with a losing record.
BUBIC's team record during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average money line of -145.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=69.0%).
The average score of these games was BUBIC's team 6.9, Opponents 1.6.
Washington at Saint Louis - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 7:45 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Washington
Bet on MACKENZIE GORE in away starts on the money line against NL Central opponents.
GORE's team record in his career: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of +107.5. (+6.5 unit$, ROI=107.5%).
The average score of these games was GORE's team 6.3, Opponents 3.3.
Bet on ANDRE PALLANTE in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season.
PALLANTE's team record in his career: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -125.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=80.0%).
The average score of these games was PALLANTE's team 4.2, Opponents 1.5.
Texas at LA Angels - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring LA Angels
Bet on KYLE HENDRICKS on the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150.
HENDRICKS' team record in his career: 33-11 (75%) with an average money line of -129.2. (+18.8 unit$, ROI=33.0%).
The average score of these games was HENDRICKS' team 5.3, Opponents 4.2.
Arizona at San Diego - Wednesday, 07/09/2025 9:40 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Arizona
Bet against DYLAN CEASE on the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season.
CEASE's team record since the 2024 season: 1-8 (11%) with an average money line of -108.9. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-78.7%).
The average score of these games was CEASE's team 2.6, Opponents 6.1.
Thursday, July 10, 2025
Chicago Cubs at Minnesota - Thursday, 07/10/2025 1:10 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Chicago Cubs
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season.
REA's team record in his career: 10-1 (91%) with an average money line of -126.4. (+8.7 unit$, ROI=62.9%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 7.5, Opponents 3.6.
Bet on COLIN REA in away starts on the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 17-6 (74%) with an average money line of +121.7. (+14.7 unit$, ROI=63.9%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 5.3, Opponents 3.8.
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 13-3 (81%) with an average money line of -112.5. (+9.6 unit$, ROI=53.5%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 6.4, Opponents 3.9.
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season.
REA's team record in his career: 13-3 (81%) with an average money line of -104.4. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=59.1%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 6.8, Opponents 4.3.
Bet on COLIN REA on the money line in road games.
REA's team record since the 2023 season: 19-8 (70%) with an average money line of +123.1. (+15.4 unit$, ROI=57.0%).
The average score of these games was REA's team 5.2, Opponents 4.1.
Trends Favoring Minnesota
Bet on CHRIS PADDACK in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season.
PADDACK's team record in his career: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -127.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=78.4%).
The average score of these games was PADDACK's team 4.7, Opponents 2.2.
Bet on CHRIS PADDACK in home starts on the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season.
PADDACK's team record in his career: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -127.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=78.4%).
The average score of these games was PADDACK's team 4.7, Opponents 2.2.
Bet on CHRIS PADDACK in home starts on the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season.
PADDACK's team record in his career: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -140.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=71.0%).
The average score of these games was PADDACK's team 5.3, Opponents 2.5.
NY Mets at Baltimore - Thursday, 07/10/2025 5:05 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Baltimore
Bet on TOMOYUKI SUGANO on the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.
SUGANO's team record in his career: 5-0 (100%) with an average money line of +125.0. (+6.3 unit$, ROI=125.0%).
The average score of these games was SUGANO's team 4.8, Opponents 2.6.
Seattle at NY Yankees - Thursday, 07/10/2025 7:05 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Seattle
Bet on BRYAN WOO in away starts on the money line when playing on Thursday.
WOO's team record in his career: 5-0 (100%) with an average money line of +105.0. (+5.3 unit$, ROI=105.0%).
The average score of these games was WOO's team 5.6, Opponents 2.4.
Washington at Saint Louis - Thursday, 07/10/2025 7:45 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Washington
Bet on MILES MIKOLAS on the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game.
MIKOLAS' team record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of +104.5. (+8.4 unit$, ROI=84.1%).
The average score of these games was MIKOLAS' team 5.2, Opponents 3.3.
Trends Favoring Saint Louis
Bet against MIKE SOROKA on the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150.
SOROKA's team record since the 2024 season: 0-8 (0%) with an average money line of +123.1. (-8.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was SOROKA's team 3.0, Opponents 7.5.
Texas at LA Angels - Thursday, 07/10/2025 9:38 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring LA Angels
Bet against PAT CORBIN on the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
CORBIN's team record since the 2024 season: 0-8 (0%) with an average money line of +167.1. (-8.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was CORBIN's team 1.3, Opponents 6.5.
Arizona at San Diego - Thursday, 07/10/2025 9:40 PM - Matchup
Trends Favoring Arizona
Bet on EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ in away starts on the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.
RODRIGUEZ's team record since the 2023 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average money line of -103.3. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=74.9%).
The average score of these games was RODRIGUEZ's team 5.1, Opponents 2.8.
Trends Favoring San Diego
Bet on RANDY VASQUEZ on the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.
VASQUEZ's team record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -110.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.2%).
The average score of these games was VASQUEZ's team 5.5, Opponents 3.5.
Bet on RANDY VASQUEZ on the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse.
VASQUEZ's team record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -110.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.2%).
The average score of these games was VASQUEZ's team 5.5, Opponents 3.5.
Glossary of Terms

Description: Provides context or specific conditions under which the team’s performance is being analyzed (e.g., "against NFC South division opponents").

ATS (Against the Spread): Indicates the team's win-loss record against the point spread. A record of 0-0 means the team has not covered or failed to cover the spread in any games under the specific trend.

O/U (Over/Under): Refers to the team's win-loss record in relation to the total points or runs line set by sportsbooks. "O/U" indicates whether the total points scored in the game were over or under the set line.

W-L (Win-Loss): The team's win-loss record for the specified trend or condition (e.g., as an underdog, in road games).

ML (Money Line): The win-loss record of the team on the money line, reflecting outright wins and losses without considering the point spread.

Game: Indicates performance over the entire game, as opposed to just a portion such as the first half.

1st Half: Indicates the team's performance specifically during the first half of the game, including ATS, O/U, and W-L records.

All Games: Refers to trends and records across all games played during the season, not limited to home or away games.

Road Games: Refers to trends and records specifically for games played away from the team’s home venue.

Trend: A historical pattern based on past betting results for a team, coach, or situation.

ATS (Against the Spread): A record of a team's performance relative to the point spread set by oddsmakers.

ML (Money Line): A record of a team's straight-up performance without consideration of the point spread.

O/U (Over/Under): A record of games going over or under the total points line set by oddsmakers.

1H ATS (1st Half Against the Spread): A record of a team's performance against the point spread for the first half only.

1H O/U (1st Half Over/Under): A record of a team’s first-half games going over or under the total first-half points line.

Betting Statistics

ROI (Return on Investment): A measure of profitability expressed as a percentage, showing how much profit was made per unit wagered.

Unit$: A measure of profit or loss in terms of betting units. A positive value indicates profit, while a negative value indicates loss.

Situational Trends

After a Win/Loss: Indicates how a team or coach performs in games following a win or loss.

Conference Game: A matchup between teams from the same conference.

Non-Conference Game: A matchup between teams from different conferences.

Home/Away Record: Performance records based on whether a team plays at home or on the road.

Neutral Site: A game played at a location that is not the home court of either team.

Performance-Based Trends

Revenging a Loss: A record of how a team performs when facing an opponent that previously defeated them.

Playing with Rest: Performance in games following a certain number of days of rest.

Off a High-Scoring Game: A trend based on performance in games following a game in which the team scored a large number of points.

After a Close Win/Loss: A trend measuring performance following a game decided by a small margin.

Coach-Based Trends

Coach ATS Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams against the spread.

Coach ML Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams in straight-up wins and losses.

Coach O/U Record: The historical record of a coach’s teams in relation to the total points line.

Team-Based Trends

Team ATS Record: The historical record of the team against the spread.

Team ML Record: The historical record of the team in straight-up wins and losses.

Team O/U Record: The historical record of the team in relation to the total points line.