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| Thursday, 07/24/2025 7:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 LVA | 629 | 12-11 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -120 | -1 |
 IND | 630 | 13-12 | 163.5 | 164 | +100 | 83 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| LVA | 83 | -1.5 | ||
| IND | 82 | -1 | IND (+2.5) | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| LVA | 78 | 39 | 27-66 | 41.0% | 8-25 | 31.0% | 16-19 | 83.1% | 41 | 7 | 13 | ||||
| IND | 84 | IND (+8.5) | Un (+1.9) | 42 | IND (+4) | Un (+1.7) | 32-69 | 45.6% | 8-25 | 33.8% | 13-17 | 77.1% | 45 | 9 | 12 |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 726 times, while Las Vegas covered the spread 274 times. Edge against the spread=Indiana. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 535 games went under the total, while 441 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 668 times, while Las Vegas won 307 times. Edge on the money line=Indiana. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the first half line 657 times, while Las Vegas covered the first half line 317 times. Edge against the first half line=Indiana. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 543 games went under the first half total, while 421 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 800 times, and failed to cover 200 times. Edge against the 4 point teaser line=Indiana. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 379 times, and failed to cover 621 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 549 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 423 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 645 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 327 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana in home games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 11-1 (92%) ATS with an average line of +0.3. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%). The average score of these games was Fever 90.0, Opponents 80.3. |
| Bet against Las Vegas when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. Las Vegas record during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average line of -3.3. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Aces 71.2, Opponents 82.8. |
| Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots. Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 10-15 (40%) with an average money line of -313. (-42.7 unit$, ROI=-54.5%) The average score of these games was Aces 82.3, Opponents 82.9. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Indiana away games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=67.4%) The average score of these games was Fever 47.7, Opponents 40.9. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Las Vegas away games when they grab 37 to 41 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Aces 36.8, Opponents 37.0. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.