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Sunday, 08/03/2025 3:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 WAS
 Washington
62313-14160158+20080
 ATL
 Atlanta
62417-11-7.5-6-250-3

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 WAS Washington79 
 ATL Atlanta88-11-6ATL (+5)

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 WAS Washington74Ov (+0.2)37 27-6641.3%5-1731.8%13-1874.6%43714
 ATL Atlanta85ATL (+5) 42ATL (+2)Un (+0.3)30-6844.2%9-2832.5%15-1976.9%44711

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the spread 612 times, while Washington covered the spread 365 times.
Edge against the spread=Atlanta.
In 1000 simulated games, 490 games went under the total, while 485 games went over the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta won the game straight up 774 times, while Washington won 201 times.
Edge on the money line=Atlanta.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the first half line 569 times, while Washington covered the first half line 396 times.
Edge against the first half line=Atlanta.
In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went under the first half total, while 459 games went over the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 722 times, and failed to cover 253 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the 4 point teaser line 481 times, and failed to cover 491 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 599 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 384 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 586 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 386 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Washington.
Bet against Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game.
Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -1.5. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-85.7%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 41.1, Opponents 47.0.
Trends Favoring Atlanta.
Bet on Atlanta on the money line when they allow 70 to 75 points in a game.
Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 9-2 (82%) with an average money line of -195. (+12.7 unit$, ROI=59.2%)
The average score of these games was Dream 80.7, Opponents 72.5.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Washington games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 158.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 69.8, Opponents 76.2.
Bet under the total in Washington games when they score 70 to 75 points in a game.
The Under's record since the 2024 season: 14-1 (93%) with an average over/under of 159.4. (+12.9 unit$, ROI=78.2%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 72.6, Opponents 77.5.
Bet under the total in Washington games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 160.6. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 70.3, Opponents 75.0.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.