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| Thursday, 08/07/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 ATL | 613 | 18-11 | -9.5 | -10.5 | -600 | -6 |
 CHI | 614 | 8-21 | 156.5 | 158.5 | +400 | 80.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| ATL | 88 | -15 | -10.5 | ATL (+4.5) |
| CHI | 71 | |||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| ATL | 86 | Ov (+3.8) | 43 | Ov (+1.4) | 31-69 | 45.0% | 10-29 | 34.5% | 14-18 | 77.1% | 44 | 8 | 11 | ||
| CHI | 76 | CHI (+1.5) | 38 | CHI (+1) | 29-67 | 42.4% | 7-20 | 34.3% | 12-16 | 78.1% | 43 | 8 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the spread 533 times, while Atlanta covered the spread 467 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 611 games went over the total, while 389 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta won the game straight up 731 times, while Chicago won 246 times. Edge on the money line=Chicago. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the first half line 511 times, while Atlanta covered the first half line 452 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 548 games went over the first half total, while 452 games went under the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the 4 point teaser line 631 times, and failed to cover 369 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 576 times, and failed to cover 424 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 706 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 294 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 508 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 492 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Atlanta in away games in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +1.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Dream 89.7, Opponents 75.0. |
| Bet against Chicago when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Chicago record during the 2025 season: 0-10 (0%) ATS with an average line of +9.7. (-11.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Sky 66.8, Opponents 86.8. |
| Bet against Chicago when they attempt 12 to 16 free throws in a game. Chicago record during the 2025 season: 1-8 (11%) ATS with an average line of +10.3. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%). The average score of these games was Sky 71.8, Opponents 89.1. |
| Bet on Atlanta in away games on the money line in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average money line of -123. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=134.7%) The average score of these games was Dream 89.7, Opponents 75.0. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.