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| Thursday, 08/07/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 IND | 615 | 18-13 | 171.5 | 171 | +175 | 86.5 |
 PHO | 616 | 18-11 | -6 | -5 | -210 | -2.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| IND | 82 | IND (+3) | ||
| PHO | 82 | -2 | -5 | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| IND | 82 | IND (+4) | 41 | IND (+1.5) | 30-67 | 44.8% | 9-25 | 34.7% | 13-17 | 80.2% | 43 | 8 | 15 | ||
| PHO | 84 | Un (+4.7) | 43 | Un (+2.6) | 30-69 | 44.2% | 9-27 | 32.5% | 14-18 | 78.9% | 42 | 8 | 12 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 586 times, while Phoenix covered the spread 396 times. Edge against the spread=Indiana. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 618 games went under the total, while 355 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix won the game straight up 525 times, while Indiana won 439 times. Edge on the money line=Indiana. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the first half line 550 times, while Phoenix covered the first half line 450 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 604 games went under the first half total, while 396 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the 4 point teaser line 494 times, and failed to cover 475 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 668 times, and failed to cover 301 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 461 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 512 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 708 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 275 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) ATS with an average line of -4.1. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%). The average score of these games was Fever 88.9, Opponents 74.7. |
| Bet on Indiana on the money line when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average money line of -230. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=37.7%) The average score of these games was Fever 88.9, Opponents 74.7. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 4-17 (19%) with an average money line of -111. (-20.8 unit$, ROI=-89.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 79.2, Opponents 88.5. |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -201. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=59.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 90.5, Opponents 80.7. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix games when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 42.4, Opponents 45.4. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Indiana games when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 166.7. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Fever 81.4, Opponents 74.6. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.