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| Thursday, 08/07/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 CON | 617 | 5-23 | 175.5 | 174.5 | +450 | 88 |
 LAS | 618 | 13-15 | -11.5 | -11 | -650 | -6.5 |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| CON | 73 | CON (+1) | ||
| LAS | 81 | -10 | -11 | |
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| CON | 77 | 38 | CON (+0.5) | 29-69 | 41.6% | 7-21 | 30.7% | 13-16 | 79.8% | 38 | 8 | 14 | |||
| LAS | 89 | LAS (+2) | Un (+8.7) | 45 | Un (+4.9) | 31-64 | 49.1% | 9-24 | 36.0% | 18-24 | 74.5% | 45 | 9 | 16 | |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the spread 514 times, while Connecticut covered the spread 449 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 726 games went under the total, while 274 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles won the game straight up 801 times, while Connecticut won 186 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the first half line 513 times, while Los Angeles covered the first half line 487 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 670 games went under the first half total, while 293 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the 4 point teaser line 626 times, and failed to cover 343 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the 4 point teaser line 573 times, and failed to cover 403 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 385 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 615 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 811 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 189 failed to go under. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Under. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Connecticut. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 1-9 (10%) ATS with an average line of +2.5. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%). The average score of these games was Sparks 75.3, Opponents 83.5. |
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 0-5 (0%) with an average money line of -318. (-15.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average score of these games was Sparks 80.2, Opponents 87.2. |
| Trends Favoring Los Angeles. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Los Angeles when they score 88 or more points in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 10-1 (91%) ATS with an average line of +0.8. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%). The average score of these games was Sparks 96.7, Opponents 88.1. |
| Bet on Los Angeles when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 17-2 (89%) ATS with an average line of +6.1. (+14.8 unit$, ROI=70.8%). The average score of these games was Sparks 90.9, Opponents 88.7. |
| Bet against Connecticut when their opponents make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Connecticut record since the 2024 season: 4-18 (18%) ATS with an average line of +5.0. (-15.8 unit$, ROI=-65.3%). The average score of these games was Sun 76.8, Opponents 88.8. |
| Bet on Los Angeles on the money line when they score 88 or more points in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average money line of -111. (+17.8 unit$, ROI=144.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 96.7, Opponents 88.1. |
| Bet on Los Angeles on the money line when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 9-2 (82%) with an average money line of +145. (+12.6 unit$, ROI=114.5%) The average score of these games was Sparks 93.3, Opponents 87.3. |
| Bet against Connecticut on the money line when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 2-19 (10%) with an average money line of +108. (-27.9 unit$, ROI=-132.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 80.9, Opponents 94.8. |
| Bet against Connecticut on the money line when their opponents make 49% of their shots or better in a game. Connecticut record since the 2023 season: 6-22 (21%) with an average money line of -163. (-33.9 unit$, ROI=-74.3%) The average score of these games was Sun 78.7, Opponents 89.4. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Connecticut games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average over/under of 159.1. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Sun 80.4, Opponents 96.0. |
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average over/under of 169.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Sparks 96.7, Opponents 88.1. |
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles games when they attempt 23 to 27 free throws in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 164.1. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Sparks 85.3, Opponents 89.9. |
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles away games when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 166.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 92.2, Opponents 88.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut games when they allow 88 to 92 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sun 42.9, Opponents 46.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Sun 39.4, Opponents 50.5. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 79.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Sun 40.5, Opponents 46.5. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Los Angeles away games when they make 49% of their shots or better in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 47.2, Opponents 41.8. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.