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| Wednesday, 07/23/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 ATL | 625 | 13-10 | 163 | 163.5 | +250 | 82.5 |
 PHO | 626 | 15-7 | -8 | -7.5 | -330 | -4 |
| Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Atlanta - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 12-10 | 13-10 | 13-10 | -6.7 | 83.3 | 40.3 | 42.8% | 45 | 78.7 | 37.6 | 42.5% | 41 |
| Road Games | 6-6 | 7-5 | 5-7 | -10.5 | 81.3 | 40.2 | 41.3% | 44 | 80.1 | 36.6 | 42.5% | 43 |
| vs. Western Conference | 4-3 | 5-3 | 4-4 | -2.8 | 81.6 | 38.3 | 41.1% | 44 | 82.0 | 39.8 | 44.1% | 39 |
| Last 5 Games | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | -1.1 | 80.4 | 42.0 | 42.4% | 43 | 79.0 | 36.8 | 40.3% | 41 |
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| Phoenix - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 12-9 | 12-10 | 15-7 | +6.3 | 83.4 | 42.0 | 43.3% | 41 | 79.3 | 40.0 | 42.2% | 43 |
| Home Games | 7-4 | 7-5 | 9-3 | +7.2 | 85.6 | 42.3 | 44.5% | 42 | 77.8 | 38.3 | 41.6% | 43 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 3-2 | 5-1 | 6-0 | +9 | 91.2 | 46.3 | 44.0% | 41 | 80.7 | 37.7 | 44.1% | 42 |
| Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | -4 | 82.8 | 40.8 | 43.7% | 42 | 79.4 | 41.2 | 40.4% | 47 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Atlanta - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/20/2025 |  WAS | 92-91 | W | -8.5 | L | 157 | O | 31-63 | 49.2% | 31 | 9 | 34-64 | 53.1% | 38 | 14 |
| 06/22/2025 |  CHI | 93-80 | W | -16.5 | L | 159 | O | 28-66 | 42.4% | 46 | 9 | 27-64 | 42.2% | 40 | 9 |
| 06/24/2025 |  @DAL | 55-68 | L | -9 | L | 169 | U | 15-64 | 23.4% | 46 | 9 | 25-66 | 37.9% | 53 | 8 |
| 06/27/2025 |  MIN | 92-96 | L | +4 | P | 158 | O | 33-76 | 43.4% | 52 | 13 | 33-72 | 45.8% | 36 | 16 |
| 06/29/2025 |  NYL | 90-81 | W | -1 | W | 166 | O | 37-70 | 52.9% | 48 | 13 | 30-68 | 44.1% | 36 | 13 |
| 07/03/2025 |  SEA | 79-80 | L | -1.5 | L | 157.5 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 51 | 16 | 32-69 | 46.4% | 29 | 11 |
| 07/07/2025 |  GS | 90-81 | W | -7.5 | W | 158 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 37 | 10 | 30-63 | 47.6% | 36 | 21 |
| 07/11/2025 |  @IND | 82-99 | L | +1 | L | 167.5 | O | 30-67 | 44.8% | 36 | 11 | 35-76 | 46.1% | 47 | 11 |
| 07/13/2025 | @NYL | 72-79 | L | +6 | L | 164.5 | U | 24-64 | 37.5% | 58 | 15 | 30-78 | 38.5% | 42 | 6 |
| 07/16/2025 | @CHI | 86-49 | W | -10 | W | 158.5 | U | 31-66 | 47.0% | 51 | 10 | 18-71 | 25.4% | 44 | 13 |
| 07/22/2025 |  @LVA | 72-87 | L | +1 | L | 161 | U | 25-65 | 38.5% | 31 | 19 | 31-69 | 44.9% | 34 | 11 |
| 07/23/2025 | @PHO | 10:00p | +7.5 | 163.5 | - | - | |||||||||
| 07/27/2025 | @MIN | 7:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/29/2025 | GS | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/30/2025 | @DAL | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/01/2025 | PHO | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/03/2025 | WAS | 3:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Phoenix - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 06/18/2025 |  @CON | 83-75 | W | -14.5 | L | 157 | O | 26-64 | 40.6% | 46 | 12 | 25-68 | 36.8% | 45 | 13 |
| 06/19/2025 | @NYL | 89-81 | W | +11.5 | W | 164 | O | 30-72 | 41.7% | 48 | 13 | 26-61 | 42.6% | 38 | 19 |
| 06/21/2025 | @CHI | 107-86 | W | -11 | W | 160 | O | 35-68 | 51.5% | 39 | 19 | 30-57 | 52.6% | 27 | 20 |
| 06/27/2025 | NYL | 106-91 | W | -1.5 | W | 168 | O | 41-78 | 52.6% | 39 | 12 | 33-65 | 50.8% | 37 | 12 |
| 06/29/2025 | LVA | 81-84 | L | -5 | L | 168.5 | U | 27-71 | 38.0% | 43 | 11 | 26-60 | 43.3% | 42 | 12 |
| 07/03/2025 | @DAL | 89-98 | L | -11.5 | L | 164.5 | O | 28-67 | 41.8% | 38 | 10 | 32-67 | 47.8% | 47 | 15 |
| 07/07/2025 | DAL | 102-72 | W | -6 | W | 163.5 | O | 36-76 | 47.4% | 51 | 9 | 27-75 | 36.0% | 48 | 17 |
| 07/09/2025 | MIN | 79-71 | W | +7.5 | W | 160.5 | U | 34-73 | 46.6% | 38 | 9 | 30-70 | 42.9% | 41 | 16 |
| 07/14/2025 | @GS | 78-77 | W | +1.5 | W | 158 | U | 27-57 | 47.4% | 39 | 14 | 25-74 | 33.8% | 49 | 9 |
| 07/16/2025 | @MIN | 66-79 | L | +10 | L | 158 | U | 25-70 | 35.7% | 44 | 12 | 29-68 | 42.6% | 49 | 13 |
| 07/23/2025 | ATL | 10:00p | -7.5 | 163.5 | - | - | |||||||||
| 07/25/2025 | @NYL | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/27/2025 | @WAS | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/30/2025 | @IND | 7:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/01/2025 | @ATL | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 08/03/2025 | @CHI | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Betting Systems |
| Betting Systems Favoring Atlanta | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against - Home teams - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in July games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2016: 46-18 (71.9%) with an average line of +0.9 (+26.2 unit$, ROI=37.2%) |
 | Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2021: 31-5 (86.1%) with an average money line of +110 (+29.2 unit$, ROI=81.0%) |
| Bet on - Any team vs the money line - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2021: 36-9 (80%) with an average money line of +108 (+29.9 unit$, ROI=66.4%) |
| Betting Systems Favoring Phoenix | |
|---|---|
| Bet on - All favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (30%-35%) after 15+ games. System applies to: Phoenix. System's record since 2016: 120-66 (64.5%) with an average line of -6.1 (+47.4 unit$, ROI=23.2%) |
 | Bet against - All underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line - good offensive team - scoring 83+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more. System applies to: Atlanta. System's record since 2016: 73-34 (68.2%) with an average first half line of -3.3 (+35.6 unit$, ROI=30.2%) |
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Atlanta in away games after 3 or more consecutive unders. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +6.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Dream 81.3, Opponents 83.3. |
| Bet against Phoenix versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-13 (19%) ATS with an average line of +4.2. (-11.3 unit$, ROI=-60.4%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.1, Opponents 84.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 2-11 (15%) ATS with an average line of +6.4. (-10.1 unit$, ROI=-70.6%). The average score of these games was Mercury 73.8, Opponents 87.8. |
| Bet against Phoenix versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-21 (13%) ATS with an average line of +6.2. (-20.1 unit$, ROI=-76.1%). The average score of these games was Mercury 73.9, Opponents 88.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 4-11 (27%) with an average money line of -183. (-18.3 unit$, ROI=-66.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 85.4, Opponents 88.8. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-12 (20%) with an average money line of +149. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-97.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 78.4, Opponents 86.3. |
| Bet on Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after 3 or more consecutive unders. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 40.8, Opponents 38.0. |
| Bet on Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line after 1 or more consecutive losses. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 13-3 (81%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (+9.7 unit$, ROI=51.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 39.5, Opponents 37.8. |
| Bet on Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 17-4 (81%) with an average 1st half line of +5.0. (+12.6 unit$, ROI=45.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 36.9, Opponents 38.1. |
| Bet on Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 16-4 (80%) with an average 1st half line of +5.0. (+11.6 unit$, ROI=47.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 37.2, Opponents 38.3. |
| Bet on Atlanta in away games on the 1st half line versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 83+ points/game. Atlanta record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +5.0. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=57.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Dream 39.9, Opponents 39.6. |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Phoenix in home games after 3 consecutive division games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) ATS with an average line of +2.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%). The average score of these games was Mercury 84.2, Opponents 78.4. |
| Bet on Phoenix versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) ATS with an average line of -4.6. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%). The average score of these games was Mercury 91.6, Opponents 80.2. |
| Bet on Phoenix in home games on the money line after 3 consecutive division games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 9-2 (82%) with an average money line of +116. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=109.1%) The average score of these games was Mercury 84.2, Opponents 78.4. |
| Bet on Phoenix in home games on the money line after a combined score of 145 points or less. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -181. (+9.1 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 85.7, Opponents 77.2. |
| Bet on Phoenix in home games on the money line after playing a game as an underdog. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 12-3 (80%) with an average money line of -180. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=39.6%) The average score of these games was Mercury 83.3, Opponents 80.5. |
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line after 3 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 7-2 (78%) with an average money line of +161. (+11.2 unit$, ROI=124.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 84.0, Opponents 78.6. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line against Western conference opponents. Atlanta record since the 2023 season: 6-18 (25%) with an average money line of +134. (-18.5 unit$, ROI=-77.1%) The average score of these games was Dream 76.3, Opponents 82.8. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line in a road game where where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 1-6 (14%) with an average money line of -137. (-10.4 unit$, ROI=-108.3%) The average score of these games was Dream 77.1, Opponents 85.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line in non-conference games. Atlanta record since the 2023 season: 6-18 (25%) with an average money line of +134. (-18.5 unit$, ROI=-77.1%) The average score of these games was Dream 76.3, Opponents 82.8. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 4-17 (19%) with an average money line of +180. (-21.8 unit$, ROI=-103.6%) The average score of these games was Dream 75.6, Opponents 80.0. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts after 15+ games. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 2-13 (13%) with an average money line of +224. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-97.0%) The average score of these games was Dream 75.4, Opponents 80.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game after 15+ games. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 4-14 (22%) with an average money line of +179. (-13.6 unit$, ROI=-75.6%) The average score of these games was Dream 76.1, Opponents 79.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 7-17 (29%) with an average money line of +145. (-18.3 unit$, ROI=-76.3%) The average score of these games was Dream 76.7, Opponents 79.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 2-13 (13%) with an average money line of +266. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-82.3%) The average score of these games was Dream 72.9, Opponents 81.0. |
| Bet on Phoenix on the 1st half line after 3 consecutive division games. Phoenix record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average 1st half line of +0.5. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=55.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 41.1, Opponents 39.2. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Phoenix away games when playing with 3 or more days rest. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 166.1. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 90.8, Opponents 86.7. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta away games after a non-conference game. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.5. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average score of these games was Dream 36.2, Opponents 38.5. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta away games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. The 1st half Under's record since the 2023 season: 15-3 (83%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+11.7 unit$, ROI=59.1%) The average score of these games was Dream 37.6, Opponents 37.1. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-13 (19%) with an average line of +4.2. (-11.3 unit$, ROI=-60.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.1, Opponents 84.9 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-11 (15%) with an average line of +6.4. (-10.1 unit$, ROI=-70.6%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 73.8, Opponents 87.8 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-21 (13%) with an average line of +6.2. (-20.1 unit$, ROI=-76.1%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 73.9, Opponents 88.9 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 4-11 (27%) with an average money line of -183. (-18.3 unit$, ROI=-66.6%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 85.4, Opponents 88.8 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-12 (20%) with an average money line of +149. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-97.3%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 78.4, Opponents 86.3 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Nate Tibbetts versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 8-1 (89%) with an average line of -4.6. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 91.6, Opponents 80.2 |
| Bet on Nate Tibbetts in home games on the money line after playing a game as an underdog. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 12-3 (80%) with an average money line of -180. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=39.6%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 83.3, Opponents 80.5 |
| Bet against Karl Smesko on the money line in a road game where where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points. Smesko's record as coach of ATLANTA: 1-6 (14%) with an average money line of -137. (-10.4 unit$, ROI=-108.3%) The average score of these games was ATLANTA 77.1, Opponents 85.0 |
| Bet on Nate Tibbetts on the 1st half line after 3 consecutive division games. Tibbetts's record on the 1st half line as coach of PHOENIX: 12-2 (86%) with an average line of +0.5. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=55.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 41.1, Opponents 39.2 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Nate Tibbetts road games when playing with 3 or more days rest. The Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 166.1. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 90.8, Opponents 86.7 |
| WNBA Game Simulation |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| ATL | 81 | ATL (+4.5) | Ov (+0.6) | 41 | ATL (+3) | 29-67 | 42.6% | 9-28 | 32.5% | 14-19 | 74.9% | 46 | 8 | 14 | |
| PHO | 84 | 42 | Un (+0.3) | 30-70 | 43.4% | 10-29 | 34.4% | 13-17 | 76.9% | 42 | 7 | 11 | |||
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| ATL | 85 | ATL (+7.5) | ||
| PHO | 83 | 0 | -7.5 | |