Swipe left to see more →
| Wednesday, 07/23/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 ATL | 625 | 14-10 | 163 | 164 | +250 | 83 |
 PHO | 626 | 15-8 | -8 | -7.5 | -330 | -4 |
Matchup Content Menu |
Swipe left to see more →
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
Swipe left to see more →
| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| ATL | 86 | -2 | ATL (+9.5) | |
| PHO | 82 | -7.5 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
Swipe left to see more →
| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| ATL | 81 | ATL (+4.5) | Ov (+0.4) | 40 | ATL (+3) | 29-67 | 42.9% | 9-28 | 32.5% | 14-19 | 75.2% | 45 | 8 | 14 | |
| PHO | 84 | 42 | Un (+0.7) | 30-70 | 43.5% | 10-29 | 34.4% | 13-17 | 76.4% | 43 | 7 | 11 | |||
Swipe left to see more →
| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the spread 630 times, while Phoenix covered the spread 370 times. Edge against the spread=Atlanta. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 501 games went under the total, while 480 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix won the game straight up 560 times, while Atlanta won 411 times. Edge on the money line=Atlanta. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the first half line 587 times, while Phoenix covered the first half line 373 times. Edge against the first half line=Atlanta. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 504 games went under the first half total, while 455 games went over the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the 4 point teaser line 483 times, and failed to cover 517 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 742 times, and failed to cover 258 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 577 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 388 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 586 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 382 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 12-3 (80%) with an average money line of -115. (+14.6 unit$, ROI=84.9%) The average score of these games was Mercury 81.3, Opponents 79.2. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average money line of +144. (-15.9 unit$, ROI=-113.6%) The average score of these games was Dream 77.9, Opponents 84.7. |
| Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers. Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average money line of -211. (-17.6 unit$, ROI=-118.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 75.4, Opponents 85.3. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Phoenix games when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 161.4. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 92.4, Opponents 80.8. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.