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Wednesday, 05/07/2025 7:40 PM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-LPitcherMLO/UMLO/URL
 BAL Baltimore96713-22MORTON(R)+1259.5o-05+1259o-05+1.5, -170
 MIN Minnesota96817-20WOODS RICHARDSON(R)-1359.5u-15-1359u-15-1.5, +150

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Qualifying Betting Systems

Explore league-wide betting systems that reveal patterns where teams consistently outperform or underperform, applicable to both sides and totals for all games.
Betting Systems Favoring Baltimore
Bet on - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 76-65 (53.9%) with an average money line of +149  (+48 unit$, ROI=34.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 5.0
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 2021: 66-39 (62.9%) with an average run line of +0.3, money line=+107  (+32 unit$, ROI=30.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.6
The system's record this season is: (2-3, -1.3 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Minnesota
Bet against - Road teams - terrible offensive team (<=3.6 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 2021: 41-7 (85.4%) with an average money line of -167  (+29.3 unit$, ROI=36.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 3.1
The system's record this season is: (3-1, +1.1 units).

Bet against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.4 runs/game on the season (AL), after a loss by 8 runs or more.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 278-174 (61.5%) with an average money line of -109  (+87.9 unit$, ROI=17.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (5-6, -1.2 units).

Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a horrible starting pitcher (ERA >=6.00, WHIP>=1.700) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Minnesota.

System's record since 2021: 33-12 (73.3%) with an average run line of -0.6, money line=+106  (+22.9 unit$, ROI=50.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 3.0
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Over
Bet over - All teams where the total is 8 to 9.5 - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 2021: 30-10 (75%) with an average total of 8.8, money line=-113  (+18.7 unit$, ROI=41.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 5.8
The system's record this season is: (0-2, -2.4 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 10 games.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 60-26 (69.8%) with an average total of 9.3, money line=-108  (+31.9 unit$, ROI=34.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 6.2
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 87-46 (65.4%) with an average total of 9.2, money line=-108  (+37.1 unit$, ROI=25.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 5.7
The system's record this season is: (0-2, -2.3 units).