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Friday, 07/04/2025 11:05 AM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-LPitcherMLO/UMLO/URL
 BOS Boston96343-46GIOLITO(R)-1108.5ev-1108.5o-25-1.5, +135
 WAS Washington96438-51SOROKA(R)+1008.5u-20+1008.5u+05+1.5, -155

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Qualifying Betting Systems

Explore league-wide betting systems that reveal patterns where teams consistently outperform or underperform, applicable to both sides and totals for all games.
Betting Systems Favoring Boston
Bet on - Any team - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 82-47 (63.6%) with an average money line of +106  (+40 unit$, ROI=31.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.9, Opponent 4.0
The system's record this season is: (0-1, -1.0 units).

Bet on - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 36-17 (67.9%) with an average run line of -0.2, money line=+112  (+23.3 unit$, ROI=43.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 4.0
The system's record this season is: (2-2, -0.9 units).

Bet against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 110-57 (65.9%) with an average run line of +0.4, money line=+102  (+54.6 unit$, ROI=32.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 3.6
The system's record this season is: (5-1, +5.1 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Washington
Bet on - Any team - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 2021: 51-28 (64.6%) with an average money line of +125  (+35.9 unit$, ROI=45.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.0
The system's record this season is: (7-5, +3.9 units).

Bet against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - after a game where their bullpen blew a save against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 33-16 (67.3%) with an average run line of -0.1, money line=+126  (+25.5 unit$, ROI=52.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (2-4, -2.4 units).

Bet against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 1997: 70-46 (60.3%) with an average run line of -0.2, money line=+121  (+38.9 unit$, ROI=33.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.5
The system's record this season is: (3-2, +1.3 units).

Bet against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games, starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 63-33 (65.6%) with an average run line of +0.3, money line=+105  (+33.2 unit$, ROI=34.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (4-3, +1.2 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Over
Bet over - Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 1997: 33-11 (75%) with an average total of 9, money line=-109  (+21 unit$, ROI=44.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 5.8
The system's record this season is: (0-1, -1.1 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 1997: 53-22 (70.7%) with an average total of 9, money line=-107  (+29.4 unit$, ROI=36.5%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.4, Opponent 5.5
The system's record this season is: (2-1, +0.9 units).

Bet over - Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games.
System applies to: Boston.

System's record since 2021: 80-38 (67.8%) with an average total of 9.1, money line=-109  (+38.5 unit$, ROI=29.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.9, Opponent 5.1
The system's record this season is: (6-5, +0.5 units).