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Tuesday, 07/08/2025 7:40 PM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-LPitcherMLO/UMLO/URL
 PIT Pittsburgh97738-54KELLER(R)+1308.5ev+1308o-10+1.5, -170
 KC Kansas City97844-48LUGO(R)-1408.5u-20-1408u-10-1.5, +150

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Qualifying Betting Systems

Explore league-wide betting systems that reveal patterns where teams consistently outperform or underperform, applicable to both sides and totals for all games.
Betting Systems Favoring Pittsburgh
Bet on - Any team - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a top level AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.60, WHIP<=1.300), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 34-16 (68%) with an average money line of +127  (+27.1 unit$, ROI=54.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 3.3
The system's record this season is: (4-2, +3.9 units).

Bet on - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - after allowing 9 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 51-30 (63%) with an average money line of +144  (+43.4 unit$, ROI=53.6%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 3.8
The system's record this season is: (8-3, +9.1 units).

Bet on - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - NL team with a poor SLG (<=.400) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300), cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 43-27 (61.4%) with an average money line of +148  (+36.5 unit$, ROI=52.1%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 4.2
The system's record this season is: (0-3, -3.0 units).

Bet on - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - NL team with a poor OBP (<=.310) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300), cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 33-21 (61.1%) with an average money line of +148  (+28 unit$, ROI=51.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.6, Opponent 4.0
The system's record this season is: (0-1, -1.0 units).

Bet on - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - NL team with a poor SLG (<=.400) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 42-27 (60.9%) with an average money line of +146  (+34.4 unit$, ROI=49.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (1-4, -2.6 units).

Bet on - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - NL team with a poor SLG (<=.400) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300), cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 37-25 (59.7%) with an average money line of +149  (+30.2 unit$, ROI=48.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (0-3, -3.0 units).

Bet on - Any team - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 52-29 (64.2%) with an average money line of +125  (+36 unit$, ROI=44.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (8-6, +3.9 units).

Bet against - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 - after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more.
System applies to: Kansas City.

System's record since 2021: 65-47 (58%) with an average money line of +138  (+42.4 unit$, ROI=37.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.5, Opponent 4.1
The system's record this season is: (8-8, +2.9 units).

Bet on - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 - NL team with a poor SLG (<=.400) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 56-44 (56%) with an average money line of +144  (+36.7 unit$, ROI=36.7%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 4.3
The system's record this season is: (1-5, -3.6 units).

Bet against - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.
System applies to: Kansas City.

System's record since 2021: 176-158 (52.7%) with an average money line of +137  (+83.1 unit$, ROI=24.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.4, Opponent 4.0
The system's record this season is: (19-23, +3.2 units).

Bet against - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start.
System applies to: Kansas City.

System's record since 2021: 155-141 (52.4%) with an average money line of +138  (+72.3 unit$, ROI=24.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 3.9
The system's record this season is: (17-19, +4.5 units).

Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 41-15 (73.2%) with an average run line of +0.5, money line=+101  (+26.5 unit$, ROI=47.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 3.9
The system's record this season is: (2-2, 0.0 units).

Bet on - Any team against a 1.5 run line - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a top level AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.60, WHIP<=1.300), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 36-14 (72%) with an average run line of +0.7, money line=+106  (+24.1 unit$, ROI=48.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 3.3
The system's record this season is: (4-2, +2.0 units).

Bet against - Home teams against a 1.5 run line - terrible offensive team - scoring <=3.9 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing.
System applies to: Kansas City.

System's record since 2021: 108-63 (63.2%) with an average run line of -0.5, money line=-111  (+38.3 unit$, ROI=20.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 3.5
The system's record this season is: (15-16, -4.7 units).

Bet on - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line Price =-160 to -115) - NL team with a poor SLG (<=.400) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 75-25 (75%) with an average run line of +1.5, money line=-132  (+42 unit$, ROI=31.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.7, Opponent 4.3
The system's record this season is: (3-3, -1.2 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Kansas City
Bet against - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 2021: 60-41 (59.4%) with an average run line of -1.5, money line=+130  (+37.3 unit$, ROI=36.9%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.1, Opponent 3.4
The system's record this season is: (5-5, +1.5 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Over
Bet over - Road teams - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a very good AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50), starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 49-20 (71%) with an average total of 7.9, money line=-104  (+28.2 unit$, ROI=39.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.8, Opponent 5.3
The system's record this season is: (1-2, -1.0 units).

Bet over - Road teams - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a very good AL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
System applies to: Pittsburgh.

System's record since 1997: 62-29 (68.1%) with an average total of 7.7, money line=-105  (+31.4 unit$, ROI=32.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 4.3, Opponent 5.2
The system's record this season is: (1-1, -0.1 units).