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Wednesday, 04/30/2025 7:07 PM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-LPitcherMLO/UMLO/URL
 BOS Boston92517-14GIOLITO(R)-1109o-20-1109o-20-1.5, +135
 TOR Toronto92613-16LAWRENCE(R)+1009ev+1009ev+1.5, -155

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsStarting PitchersLineupsBullpensSchedule & ResultsManagers🔒Umpire🔒Head-to-Head🔒

Starting Pitcher Report

Analyze MLB starting pitcher betting stats, advanced pitching metrics, Sabermetric data, recent trends, and game results to inform smarter baseball betting decisions.

Key Pitcher Trends

Explore top starting pitcher betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the money line, run line, and over/under. Trends represent the record of the pitcher's team when starting and have displayed have a demonstrated edge against the line referenced.

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Trends Favoring Toronto.
Bet against LUCAS GIOLITO on the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.
GIOLITO's team record since the 2023 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of +106. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-109.2%) (Team's Record).
The average score of these games was GIOLITO's team 3.8, Opponents 6.0.

LUCAS GIOLITO Statistics

These tables offer a comprehensive breakdown of a starting pitcher's performance in the current game. The first table details accumulated traditional stats—such as wins, losses, ERA, innings pitched, and other core metrics—across various game conditions. The second table presents advanced sabermetric analyses, including ERA estimates (xERA, ERC, FIP, dERA, DICE, SIERA), along with key ratios and percentages that assess pitching efficiency and quality. Together, these tables provide an in-depth evaluation of both standard and advanced pitching performance metrics under different game scenarios.

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Lucas Giolito 2024 Pitching Statistics
Game Situation W L ERA G GS QS QS% CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB HBP SO WP BK WHIP AVGa OBPa SLGa OPSa

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Lucas Giolito 2024 Advanced Pitching Statistics
  ERA Estimates Percentages and Ratios Pitcher Quality Score
Game Situation ERA xERA ERC FIP dERA DICE SIERA HR% Str% BB% BB9 SO% SO9 SOBB PFR LOB% GOFO Dom Dom% Dis Dis%

LUCAS GIOLITO Team Betting Records

This table details team betting performances when the designated pitcher is starting. It breaks down win-loss records and unit values across multiple betting lines—including money line, run line, and over/under—as well as early inning metrics (first 3 and first 5 innings) under different game conditions.

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Lucas Giolito 2024 Team Betting Records in Games Started
  Money Line Run Line Over/Under 1st 3 Inn. ML 1st 3 Inn. ATS 1st 3 Inn. Ov/Un 1st 5 Inn. ML 1st 5 Inn. ATS 1st 5 Inn. Ov/Un
Game Condition W-L Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un-T Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$

LUCAS GIOLITO Recent Starts

Explore recent starting pitcher game results, including key metrics like ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, and game outcomes. Analyze individual performance trends.

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DateOpponentScoreMLO-UResultDec.PCIPRERHHRBBSO

LUCAS GIOLITO Career Team Betting Records

This table displays detailed betting outcomes when a specific starting pitcher takes the mound. It breaks down team performance across money line, run line, and over/under markets under various conditions (e.g., road games, underdog scenarios, specific game situations) and supports customizable time windows—covering the pitcher’s entire career, the last three seasons, or the last two seasons.

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LUCAS GIOLITO - Team betting records in pitcher starts
 All GamesRoad Games
 Money LineRun LineOv/UnMoney LineRun LineOv/Un
DescriptionW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-UW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-U
in all games82-98-25.484-96-18.986-8647-44+7.449-42+0.241-44
in road games47-44+7.449-42+0.241-4447-44+7.449-42+0.241-44
when the money line is +125 to -12534-42-8.534-42-13.336-3919-18+1.117-20-6.516-20
on the road when the money line is +125 to -12519-18+1.117-20-6.516-2019-18+1.117-20-6.516-20
in the first half of the season36-41-7.236-41-6.335-3818-19+1.318-19-3.818-15
when playing on Wednesday10-16-8.79-17-10.48-178-10-2.67-11-6.14-13
in April games4-17-156-15-10.99-113-9-5.83-9-7.77-4
vs. division opponents39-45-17.335-49-17.435-4423-19+3.321-21-2.315-23
when pitching in night games54-58-7.155-57-655-5030-27+6.932-25+2.324-28
vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse64-58-3.763-59+1.753-6137-23+15.437-23+11.422-32
vs. a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL)43-40-6.845-38+7.539-3828-18+10.529-17+10.418-23
vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game79-93-22.982-90-13.681-8344-40+8.847-37+3.937-41
vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game13-16-7.513-16-2.616-98-4+3.76-6-0.13-5
when playing against a team with a losing record47-40-4.544-43+1.339-4224-17+6.223-18+3.118-19
vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season37-35-8.440-32+8.531-3626-17+927-16+9.715-24
vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season34-26-4.531-29+2.928-2817-13+0.216-14+0.711-15

CASEY LAWRENCE Statistics

These tables offer a comprehensive breakdown of a starting pitcher's performance in the current game. The first table details accumulated traditional stats—such as wins, losses, ERA, innings pitched, and other core metrics—across various game conditions. The second table presents advanced sabermetric analyses, including ERA estimates (xERA, ERC, FIP, dERA, DICE, SIERA), along with key ratios and percentages that assess pitching efficiency and quality. Together, these tables provide an in-depth evaluation of both standard and advanced pitching performance metrics under different game scenarios.

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Casey Lawrence 2025 Pitching Statistics
Game Situation W L ERA G GS QS QS% CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB IBB HBP SO WP BK WHIP AVGa OBPa SLGa OPSa
All Games 1 1 4.97 5 0 0 0.0% 0 0 12.7 20 14 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.658 0.351 0.373 0.526 0.899
Regular Season Games 1 1 4.97 5 0 0 0.0% 0 0 12.7 20 14 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.658 0.351 0.373 0.526 0.899
Home Games 1 1 5.91 3 0 0 0.0% 0 0 10.7 20 13 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.969 0.392 0.415 0.588 1.003
Regular Season Home Games 1 1 5.91 3 0 0 0.0% 0 0 10.7 20 13 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.969 0.392 0.415 0.588 1.003
League Games 1 1 4.97 5 0 0 0.0% 0 0 12.7 20 14 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.658 0.351 0.373 0.526 0.899
Division Games 1 1 4.97 5 0 0 0.0% 0 0 12.7 20 14 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.658 0.351 0.373 0.526 0.899
Night Games 0 1 5.19 3 0 0 0.0% 0 0 8.7 16 11 5 2 0 0 1 5 0 0 1.846 0.381 0.395 0.595 0.991
Over the Past 3 Seasons 2 1 6.08 20 0 0 0.0% 0 0 40.0 52 34 27 9 11 2 3 25 1 0 1.575 0.317 0.371 0.567 0.938
Over the past 2 months 1 1 4.97 5 0 0 0.0% 0 0 12.7 20 14 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.658 0.351 0.373 0.526 0.899
Over the last month 1 1 4.97 5 0 0 0.0% 0 0 12.7 20 14 7 2 1 0 1 5 1 0 1.658 0.351 0.373 0.526 0.899

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Casey Lawrence 2025 Advanced Pitching Statistics
  ERA Estimates Percentages and Ratios Pitcher Quality Score
Game Situation ERA xERA ERC FIP dERA DICE SIERA HR% Str% BB% BB9 SO% SO9 SOBB PFR LOB% GOFO Dom Dom% Dis Dis%
All Games 4.97 6.96 6.78 4.84 4.60 4.84 4.84 3.4% 63.0% 1.7% 0.7 8.3% 3.6 5.00 0.47 41.7% 1.36 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Regular Season Games 4.97 6.96 6.78 4.84 4.60 4.84 4.84 3.4% 63.0% 1.7% 0.7 8.3% 3.6 5.00 0.47 41.7% 1.36 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Home Games 5.91 8.77 9.13 5.16 4.74 5.16 5.16 3.8% 62.8% 1.9% 0.8 9.3% 4.2 5.00 0.56 46.9% 1.10 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Regular Season Home Games 5.91 8.77 9.13 5.16 4.74 5.16 5.16 3.8% 62.8% 1.9% 0.8 9.3% 4.2 5.00 0.56 46.9% 1.10 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
League Games 4.97 6.96 6.78 4.84 4.60 4.84 4.84 3.4% 63.0% 1.7% 0.7 8.3% 3.6 5.00 0.47 41.7% 1.36 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Division Games 4.97 6.96 6.78 4.84 4.60 4.84 4.84 3.4% 63.0% 1.7% 0.7 8.3% 3.6 5.00 0.47 41.7% 1.36 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Night Games 5.19 8.74 8.98 5.29 4.77 5.29 5.32 4.7% 64.3% 0.0% 0.0 11.6% 5.2 0.00 0.58 42.3% 1.57 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Over the Past 3 Seasons 6.08 6.56 6.52 5.83 5.51 5.83 5.67 5.1% 62.0% 5.9% 2.5 13.4% 5.6 2.27 0.90 59.9% 0.92 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Over the past 2 months 4.97 6.96 6.78 4.84 4.60 4.84 4.84 3.4% 63.0% 1.7% 0.7 8.3% 3.6 5.00 0.47 41.7% 1.36 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Over the last month 4.97 6.96 6.78 4.84 4.60 4.84 4.84 3.4% 63.0% 1.7% 0.7 8.3% 3.6 5.00 0.47 41.7% 1.36 0 0.0% 0 0.0%

CASEY LAWRENCE Team Betting Records

This table details team betting performances when the designated pitcher is starting. It breaks down win-loss records and unit values across multiple betting lines—including money line, run line, and over/under—as well as early inning metrics (first 3 and first 5 innings) under different game conditions.

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Casey Lawrence 2024 Team Betting Records in Games Started
  Money Line Run Line Over/Under 1st 3 Inn. ML 1st 3 Inn. ATS 1st 3 Inn. Ov/Un 1st 5 Inn. ML 1st 5 Inn. ATS 1st 5 Inn. Ov/Un
Game Condition W-L Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un-T Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ W-L-T Unit$ W-L Unit$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$

CASEY LAWRENCE Recent Starts

Explore recent starting pitcher game results, including key metrics like ERA, WHIP, innings pitched, and game outcomes. Analyze individual performance trends.

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DateOpponentScoreMLO-UResultDec.PCIPRERHHRBBSO

CASEY LAWRENCE Career Betting Trends

This table displays detailed betting outcomes when a specific starting pitcher takes the mound. It breaks down team performance across money line, run line, and over/under markets under various conditions (e.g., road games, underdog scenarios, specific game situations) and supports customizable time windows—covering the pitcher’s entire career, the last three seasons, or the last two seasons.

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CASEY LAWRENCE - Team betting records in pitcher starts
 All GamesHome Games
 Money LineRun LineOv/UnMoney LineRun LineOv/Un
DescriptionW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-UW-LUnit$W-LUnit$O-U
in all games0-2-21-1-0.51-00-000-000-0
at home when the money line is +125 to -1250-000-000-00-000-000-0
in home games0-000-000-00-000-000-0
when the money line is +125 to -1250-000-000-00-000-000-0
in April games0-2-21-1-0.51-00-000-000-0
in the first half of the season0-2-21-1-0.51-00-000-000-0
when playing on Wednesday0-000-000-00-000-000-0
vs. division opponents0-000-000-00-000-000-0
when pitching in night games0-2-21-1-0.51-00-000-000-0
vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse0-1-11-0+10-00-000-000-0
vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game0-2-21-1-0.51-00-000-000-0
when playing against a team with a winning record0-000-000-00-000-000-0
vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season0-000-000-00-000-000-0
Glossary of Terms

ERA (Earned Run Average): A statistic that measures a pitcher's effectiveness by calculating the average number of earned runs allowed per nine innings pitched.

WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched): A measure of the number of baserunners a pitcher has allowed per inning pitched, calculated as (Walks + Hits) / Innings Pitched.

W-L (Win-Loss Record): A statistic that shows the number of games a pitcher has won and lost as a starter.

G (Games Played): The total number of games in which the pitcher has appeared.

IP (Innings Pitched): The total number of innings a pitcher has thrown.

IP/S (Innings Pitched per Start): The average number of innings a pitcher completes in each game started.

R (Runs Allowed): The total number of runs the pitcher has allowed, including both earned and unearned runs.

ER (Earned Runs): The total number of earned runs the pitcher has allowed.

H (Hits Allowed): The total number of hits the pitcher has allowed.

HR (Home Runs Allowed): The total number of home runs the pitcher has allowed.

BB (Walks Issued): The total number of bases on balls (walks) the pitcher has issued.

SO (Strikeouts): The total number of batters the pitcher has struck out.

ML (Money Line): Indicates the odds for betting on a team's outright win. Positive numbers represent underdogs, and negative numbers represent favorites.

O/U (Over/Under): A betting line set by sportsbooks predicting the total number of runs scored in the game by both teams combined.

RL (Run Line): A betting option that allows a bettor to back a team to either win by more than a certain number of runs or to lose by fewer than a certain number of runs.

W-L (Unit$): The profit or loss in betting units based on the pitcher's team performance in the game, taking into account the money line odds.

O-U (Over-Under Record): The record of games where the total runs scored were over or under the predicted total set by sportsbooks.

Dec. (Decision): The outcome of the game for the pitcher, indicating whether they were credited with a win, loss, or no decision.

PC (Pitch Count): The total number of pitches thrown by the pitcher in a game.

Game Situation: The specific context or type of game situation being analyzed, such as all starts, last 3 starts, home starts, etc.

Opponent: The team the pitcher is facing in the specific game being referenced.

Score: The final score of the game in which the pitcher participated.

Result: The outcome of the game in terms of a win, loss, or push, along with the over/under result.

Money Line (Betting Records): The team's win-loss record and the total profit or loss in units when betting on the pitcher’s team, either in all games or specific types of games (e.g., home games, road games).

Run Line (Betting Records): The team's record and profit or loss when betting on the pitcher’s team with a run line bet.

Ov/Un (Over/Under Record): The team’s record when betting the over or under on the total runs in games the pitcher started.

Inter-League Game: A game between teams from the American League (AL) and National League (NL).

Day Games: Games that are played during the daytime, typically starting before 4:00 PM local time.

Grass Starts: Refers to games played on natural grass fields as opposed to artificial turf.

vs. (Versus): Indicates matchups between the pitcher’s team and other specified teams or conditions.