StatSharp Logo

Swipe left to see more →

Thursday, 04/10/2025 7:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 NYK
 New York
50151-31224.5228.5+145115
 DET
 Detroit
50244-38-4.5-3.5-165-2

Matchup Content Menu

Swipe left to see more →

Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

Swipe left to see more →

 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 NYK New York115 NYK (+1.5)
 DET Detroit115-2-3.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

Swipe left to see more →

Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 NYK New York111 56 41-8945.9%11-3234.3%18-2379.3%511314
 DET Detroit117DET (+2.5)Un (+0.7)59DET (+1)Un (+0.3)43-8948.8%12-3334.7%18-2478.3%541314

Simulation Line Covers

Swipe left to see more →

The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the spread 558 times, while New York covered the spread 442 times.
Edge against the spread=Detroit.
In 1000 simulated games, 508 games went under the total, while 492 games went over the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit won the game straight up 628 times, while New York won 350 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the first half line 514 times, while New York covered the first half line 467 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 494 games went under the first half total, while 470 games went over the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the 4 point teaser line 650 times, and failed to cover 350 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 536 times, and failed to cover 464 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 591 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 409 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 613 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 387 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring New York.
Bet against Detroit in away or neutral games on the money line when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game.
Detroit record since the 2023 season: 8-32 (20%) with an average money line of +157. (-28.0 unit$, ROI=-70.0%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 111.8, Opponents 119.2.
Trends Favoring Detroit.
Bet on Detroit on the money line in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers.
Detroit record during the 2025 season: 29-14 (67%) with an average money line of -106. (+26.3 unit$, ROI=57.7%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 116.5, Opponents 111.7.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the 1st half total in Detroit games in games where they attempt 84 to 92 shots.
The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 28-9 (76%) with an average 1st half over/under of 113.5. (+18.1 unit$, ROI=42.2%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 59.7, Opponents 58.7.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in New York games when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-3 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 114.5. (+14.7 unit$, ROI=63.6%)
The average score of these games was Knicks 52.1, Opponents 51.8.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.