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Thursday, 04/10/2025 7:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 CLE
 Cleveland
50364-18229233+350117.5
 IND
 Indiana
50450-32-9-9.5-500-5.5

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 CLE Cleveland119-1 CLE (+10.5)
 IND Indiana116-9.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 CLE Cleveland118CLE (+9.5)Ov (+3.7)59CLE (+5.5)Ov (+1.4)44-9148.0%15-4235.8%16-2077.6%541414
 IND Indiana119 59 44-9147.9%14-3936.9%17-2181.9%501111

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Cleveland covered the spread 699 times, while Indiana covered the spread 301 times.
Edge against the spread=Cleveland.
In 1000 simulated games, 578 games went over the total, while 404 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 491 times, while Cleveland won 480 times.
Edge on the money line=Cleveland.
In 1000 simulated games, Cleveland covered the first half line 671 times, while Indiana covered the first half line 329 times.
Edge against the first half line=Cleveland.
In 1000 simulated games, 551 games went over the first half total, while 449 games went under the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 380 times, and failed to cover 620 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Cleveland covered the 4 point teaser line 774 times, and failed to cover 226 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 654 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 331 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 497 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 486 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Cleveland.
Bet on Cleveland on the money line when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game.
Cleveland record during the 2025 season: 18-2 (90%) with an average money line of -432. (+16.2 unit$, ROI=18.8%)
The average score of these games was Cavaliers 121.4, Opponents 110.7.
Trends Favoring Indiana.
Bet on Indiana on the money line in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers.
Indiana record during the 2025 season: 34-15 (69%) with an average money line of -196. (+24.4 unit$, ROI=25.4%)
The average score of these games was Pacers 120.0, Opponents 114.8.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the total in Cleveland games when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game.
The Over's record during the 2025 season: 19-4 (83%) with an average over/under of 232.0. (+14.6 unit$, ROI=57.7%)
The average score of these games was Cavaliers 124.8, Opponents 119.5.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.