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Thursday, 04/10/2025 8:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 NOP
 New Orleans
50721-61221.5220.5111
 MIL
 Milwaukee
50849-34-15-13.5-8

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 NOP New Orleans100 
 MIL Milwaukee118-20-13.5MIL (+6.5)

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 NOP New Orleans107NOP (+0.5)Ov (+6)54NOP (+2)Ov (+3.5)41-9045.6%11-3333.8%13-1873.6%511314
 MIL Milwaukee120 60 44-8650.7%13-3637.7%19-2577.4%511012

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Milwaukee covered the spread 505 times, while New Orleans covered the spread 495 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 654 games went over the total, while 346 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Milwaukee won the game straight up 776 times, while New Orleans won 204 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, New Orleans covered the first half line 538 times, while Milwaukee covered the first half line 433 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 603 games went over the first half total, while 378 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Milwaukee covered the 4 point teaser line 592 times, and failed to cover 408 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, New Orleans covered the 4 point teaser line 595 times, and failed to cover 405 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 736 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 264 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 457 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 543 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Milwaukee.
Bet against New Orleans in home games when they score 103 to 108 points in a game.
New Orleans record during the 2025 season: 0-9 (0%) ATS with an average line of +3.4. (-9.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was Pelicans 105.4, Opponents 118.1.
Bet against New Orleans on the money line when they score 103 to 108 points in a game.
New Orleans record during the 2025 season: 1-11 (8%) with an average money line of +183. (-12.1 unit$, ROI=-100.4%)
The average score of these games was Pelicans 105.6, Opponents 115.4.
Bet against New Orleans on the money line when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game.
New Orleans record since the 2024 season: 8-27 (23%) with an average money line of +157. (-27.0 unit$, ROI=-77.0%)
The average score of these games was Pelicans 109.7, Opponents 117.6.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.