StatSharp Logo

Swipe left to see more →

Tuesday, 04/15/2025 10:00 PM (ET) 
Western Conference - Play-In Game
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 MEM
 Memphis (8)
57948-35230.5227.5+220114.5
 GSW
 Golden State (7)
58049-34-7-7-300-3.5

Matchup Content Menu

Swipe left to see more →

Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

Swipe left to see more →

 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 MEM Memphis117 
 GSW Golden State122-7-7

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

Swipe left to see more →

Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 MEM Memphis111Ov (+3)55Ov (+1.7)41-8946.1%13-3735.8%15-1881.4%531316
 GSW Golden State120GSW (+2) 61GSW (+1.5) 41-9046.1%16-4337.6%21-2681.3%541313

Simulation Line Covers

Swipe left to see more →

The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 528 times, while Memphis covered the spread 448 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 575 games went over the total, while 425 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State won the game straight up 692 times, while Memphis won 285 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 567 times, while Memphis covered the first half line 433 times.
Edge against the first half line=Golden State.
In 1000 simulated games, 572 games went over the first half total, while 428 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 623 times, and failed to cover 352 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Memphis covered the 4 point teaser line 529 times, and failed to cover 453 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 672 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 328 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 531 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 469 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in Memphis away or neutral games when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2023 season: 21-3 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 115.0. (+17.7 unit$, ROI=64.4%)
The average score of these games was Grizzlies 51.6, Opponents 57.4.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-7 (79%) with an average 1st half over/under of 114.0. (+18.3 unit$, ROI=48.9%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 53.0, Opponents 53.3.
Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 20-5 (80%) with an average 1st half over/under of 113.5. (+14.5 unit$, ROI=52.7%)
The average score of these games was Warriors 51.9, Opponents 53.0.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.