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| Friday, 04/18/2025 9:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Conference - Play-In Game | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 DAL | 591 | 40-44 | 222.5 | 220.5 | +200 | 111 |
 MEM | 592 | 49-35 | -6.5 | -6 | -250 | -3 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| DAL | 108 | |||
| MEM | 117 | -11 | -6 | MEM (+5) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| DAL | 112 | Ov (+11.4) | 56 | Ov (+5.6) | 42-88 | 47.2% | 12-33 | 35.7% | 17-23 | 76.9% | 49 | 10 | 13 | ||
| MEM | 120 | MEM (+1) | 60 | MEM (+1) | 45-94 | 47.9% | 14-39 | 35.8% | 16-19 | 82.0% | 57 | 15 | 13 | ||
Simulation Line Covers |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Memphis covered the spread 529 times, while Dallas covered the spread 446 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 744 games went over the total, while 256 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Memphis won the game straight up 676 times, while Dallas won 303 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Memphis covered the first half line 510 times, while Dallas covered the first half line 460 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 663 games went over the first half total, while 310 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Memphis covered the 4 point teaser line 630 times, and failed to cover 346 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 549 times, and failed to cover 430 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 816 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 184 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 346 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 654 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas away or neutral games in games where they attempt 84 to 92 shots. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average 1st half over/under of 115.0. (+13.8 unit$, ROI=66.0%) The average score of these games was Mavericks 62.8, Opponents 59.5. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.