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Friday, 04/25/2025 7:00 PM (ET) 
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Boston leads series 1 games to 0.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 BOS
 Boston (2)
55362-21
 ORL
 Orlando (7)
55442-42NLNLNL

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 BOS Boston121-1
 ORL Orlando118 

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 BOS Boston109 55 39-8844.5%17-4836.2%13-1681.0%541312
 ORL Orlando106 54 40-8945.0%12-3533.9%15-1880.0%531211

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Orlando covered the spread 0 times, while Boston covered the spread 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston won the game straight up 560 times, while Orlando won 418 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Orlando covered the first half line 0 times, while Boston covered the first half line 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the first half total, while 0 games went under the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Orlando covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Orlando.
Bet on Orlando in home games on the money line when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game.
Orlando record since the 2024 season: 21-4 (84%) with an average money line of -295. (+16.7 unit$, ROI=22.6%)
The average score of these games was Magic 110.5, Opponents 100.5.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Boston away or neutral games when they score 109 to 114 points in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 229.2. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Celtics 111.8, Opponents 101.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.