More NBA Games |
Swipe left to see more →
| Friday, 05/02/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Golden State leads series 3 games to 2. | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 HOU | 529 | 54-33 | 204 | 203.5 | +170 | 102.5 |
 GSW | 530 | 52-36 | -4.5 | -4.5 | -200 | -2.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
Swipe left to see more →
NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
Swipe left to see more →
| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| HOU | 118 | HOU (+1.5) | ||
| GSW | 119 | -3 | -4.5 | |
Game Simulation Results |
Swipe left to see more →
| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| HOU | 111 | HOU (+1.5) | Ov (+20.8) | 56 | HOU (+1.5) | Ov (+10.1) | 42-90 | 46.3% | 13-35 | 38.1% | 14-20 | 70.7% | 57 | 16 | 16 |
| GSW | 113 | 57 | 40-89 | 45.0% | 16-43 | 37.5% | 18-22 | 80.5% | 51 | 13 | 13 | ||||
Simulation Line Covers |
Swipe left to see more →
| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Houston covered the spread 537 times, while Golden State covered the spread 463 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 900 games went over the total, while 100 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State won the game straight up 559 times, while Houston won 424 times. Edge on the money line=Houston. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Houston covered the first half line 534 times, while Golden State covered the first half line 466 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 787 games went over the first half total, while 213 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 559 times, and failed to cover 441 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Houston covered the 4 point teaser line 644 times, and failed to cover 356 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 934 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 66 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 155 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 845 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Houston away or neutral games in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 17-2 (89%) with an average 1st half over/under of 113.5. (+14.8 unit$, ROI=67.3%) The average score of these games was Rockets 51.1, Opponents 54.2. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Houston away or neutral games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 110.0. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=67.0%) The average score of these games was Rockets 52.8, Opponents 49.6. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Golden State games when they attempt 21 to 26 free throws in a game. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 34-10 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 115.0. (+23.0 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score of these games was Warriors 55.6, Opponents 53.8. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.