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| Sunday, 05/04/2025 8:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied 3 games to 3. | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 GSW | 539 | 52-37 | 201.5 | 206.5 | +120 | 104 |
 HOU | 540 | 55-33 | -3 | -2.5 | -140 | -1.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| GSW | 118 | |||
| HOU | 119 | -3 | -2.5 | HOU (+0.5) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| GSW | 110 | Ov (+16.8) | 55 | Ov (+8.3) | 39-89 | 43.9% | 16-43 | 36.0% | 16-20 | 80.6% | 50 | 13 | 13 | ||
| HOU | 114 | HOU (+1.5) | 57 | HOU (+0.5) | 42-90 | 47.0% | 13-35 | 38.5% | 16-23 | 71.0% | 58 | 16 | 15 | ||
Simulation Line Covers |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Houston covered the spread 530 times, while Golden State covered the spread 470 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 843 games went over the total, while 157 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Houston won the game straight up 579 times, while Golden State won 402 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Houston covered the first half line 532 times, while Golden State covered the first half line 468 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 746 games went over the first half total, while 220 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Houston covered the 4 point teaser line 611 times, and failed to cover 389 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 553 times, and failed to cover 447 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 879 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 121 failed to go over. Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 212 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 788 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Houston. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Houston in home games on the money line when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game. Houston record since the 2024 season: 14-1 (93%) with an average money line of -306. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=31.2%) The average score of these games was Rockets 121.5, Opponents 108.1. |
| Bet on Houston in home games on the money line when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game. Houston record since the 2024 season: 21-4 (84%) with an average money line of -224. (+16.4 unit$, ROI=29.2%) The average score of these games was Rockets 112.4, Opponents 105.2. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.