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Saturday, 05/10/2025 3:30 PM (ET) 
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - New York leads series 2 games to 0.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 BOS
 Boston (2)
56765-24-5-5-210-2.5
 NYK
 New York (3)
56857-33206205.5+175103.5

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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 BOS Boston122-3-5
 NYK New York117 NYK (+2)

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 BOS Boston110Ov (+11.2)55Ov (+4.5)40-8845.1%16-4534.6%14-1781.4%551513
 NYK New York107NYK (+3) 53NYK (+1.5) 41-9045.6%12-3435.5%13-1778.2%521411

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the spread 556 times, while Boston covered the spread 423 times.
Edge against the spread=New York.
In 1000 simulated games, 753 games went over the total, while 247 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston won the game straight up 559 times, while New York won 416 times.
Edge on the money line=New York.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the first half line 520 times, while Boston covered the first half line 480 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 646 games went over the first half total, while 354 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 642 times, and failed to cover 324 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston covered the 4 point teaser line 528 times, and failed to cover 441 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 816 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 184 failed to go over.
Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, 320 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 680 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring New York.
Bet against Boston on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 17 turnovers.
Boston record during the 2025 season: 12-14 (46%) with an average money line of -421. (-43.7 unit$, ROI=-39.9%)
The average score of these games was Celtics 110.7, Opponents 106.5.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Boston away or neutral games when they score 109 to 114 points in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 229.2. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Celtics 111.8, Opponents 101.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.