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Thursday, 08/28/2025 8:00 PM 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 BUFF
 Buffalo
1539-445.545.5+80023
 MINN
 Minnesota
1548-5-18.5-17.5-1450-10

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Trends & Betting Records🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & Injuries🔒Schedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NCAAF Tip Sheet

Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!

Game Betting Records

This section presents season-long betting performance across multiple wager types—spread, money line, over/under, team totals, and teaser outcomes—grouped by game conditions relevant to the current matchup. It includes win‑loss‑tie and unit‑profit metrics for each category under scenarios such as all games, home and away games, and non‑conference matchups. By summarizing these key performance metrics, it helps bettors understand how past trends inform their current wagering decisions.

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 Buffalo 2024 Game Betting Records
  Game ATS Money Line Over/Under Team Total 6 Point Teaser W-L 7 Point Teaser W-L 10 Point Teaser W-L
Game Condition W-L-T Unit$ W-L-T Unit$ O-U-T Ov$ Un$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ Side Over Under Side Over Under Side Over Under
All Games 8-5-0 +0.2 9-3-0 +0.8 7-5-1 +0.1 -0.2 9-4 +0.3 -0.5 9-2 10-3 9-4 11-2 10-3 9-4 11-2 11-2 9-4
Away Games 3-3-0 -0.1 3-2-0 +0.7 4-1-1 +0.5 -0.6 3-3 -0.1 0.0 3-2 5-1 4-2 4-2 5-1 4-2 4-2 5-1 4-2
NonConference Games 3-2-0 +0.2 3-1-0 +0.4 1-4-0 -0.7 +0.6 2-3 -0.3 +0.1 3-1 2-3 5-0 4-1 2-3 5-0 4-1 3-2 5-0
Over the past 2 months 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Over the last month 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

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 Minnesota 2024 Game Betting Records
  Game ATS Money Line Over/Under Team Total 6 Point Teaser W-L 7 Point Teaser W-L 10 Point Teaser W-L
Game Condition W-L-T Unit$ W-L-T Unit$ O-U-T Ov$ Un$ Ov-Un Ov$ Un$ Side Over Under Side Over Under Side Over Under
All Games 9-3-1 +0.5 8-5-0 +0.2 5-7-1 -0.2 +0.1 6-6 -0.1 -0.1 11-2 9-4 9-3 11-2 9-4 10-3 11-2 11-2 11-2
Home Games 5-1-1 +0.6 4-3-0 +0.4 3-3-1 0.0 -0.1 3-3 -0.1 -0.1 6-1 5-2 4-2 6-1 5-2 5-2 6-1 5-2 6-1
NonConference Games 3-0-1 +0.8 3-1-0 +0.5 0-3-1 -0.8 +0.8 0-3 -0.9 +0.8 4-0 1-3 4-0 4-0 1-3 4-0 4-0 2-2 4-0
Over the past 2 months 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Over the last month 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0-0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0.0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Team Scoring and Summary Stats

Get a detailed breakdown of the latest performance metrics, including scoring averages for the game, halves, and quarters, along with key summary stats with all data reflecting current game conditions.

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 Buffalo 2024 Season Performance Summary
    Game 1st Half 2nd Half 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. Team Statistics Opponent Statistics  
Condition W-L PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA Plays-TY YPP TO Plays-TY YPP TO TOD
All Games 9-4 28.8 26.4 12.8 11.6 15.4 11.8 6.5 3.4 6.2 8.2 7.6 5.9 7.8 8.6 67.6-355.5 5.3 1.0 69.7-391.8 5.6 1.7 +0.7
Away Games 3-3 20.0 33.7 9.5 15.3 10.0 14.3 3.7 5.0 5.8 10.3 5.5 7.2 4.5 11.2 63.7-287.0 4.5 0.8 74.5-466.7 6.3 1.8 +1.0
NonConference Games 3-2 18.6 21.6 7.6 10.0 11.0 10.8 5.2 2.6 2.4 7.4 6.2 5.4 4.8 6.2 64.0-288.6 4.5 0.8 69.6-342.6 4.9 1.4 +0.6
Over the past 2 months 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Over the last month 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

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 Minnesota 2024 Season Performance Summary
    Game 1st Half 2nd Half 1st Qtr. 2nd Qtr. 3rd Qtr. 4th Qtr. Team Statistics Opponent Statistics  
Condition W-L PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA PF PA Plays-TY YPP TO Plays-TY YPP TO TOD
All Games 8-5 26.2 16.9 14.5 8.8 11.7 7.2 4.5 2.7 9.9 6.2 4.8 3.6 6.9 4.5 62.7-337.8 5.4 0.9 60.0-285.7 4.8 1.6 +0.7
Home Games 4-3 29.0 16.6 18.3 7.1 10.7 10.6 5.7 1.0 12.6 6.1 4.4 5.3 6.3 4.1 60.4-346.7 5.7 1.0 60.0-293.4 4.9 1.9 +0.9
NonConference Games 3-1 29.0 7.3 18.0 4.3 11.0 3.0 2.3 1.8 15.8 2.5 5.3 1.5 5.8 1.5 63.0-363.8 5.8 1.0 52.0-195.5 3.8 2.3 +1.3
Over the past 2 months 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Over the last month 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Offensive and Defensive Statistics

Get comprehensive offensive and defensive football stats, including scoring, rushing, passing, and total offense, all updated to reflect current game conditions.

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 Buffalo 2024 Offensive and Defensive Statistics
    Rushing Passing Total 3rd Down Conv. 4th Down Conv.
Condition PPG FD TOP RA-RY YPR PC-PA Pct PY YPC YPA #-YDS YPP YPPT Conv-# Pct. Conv-# Pct.
Offense - All Games 28.8 18.5 28.82 40.9 -169.2 4.1 14.9-26.7 55.9% 186.3 12.5 7.0 67.6-355.5 5.3 12.3 4.8-14.4 33.7% 1.3-2.2 60.7%
vs. Opponents Avg. Defense 27.8 19.6 29.42 36.6-163.4 4.4 17.2-28.3 60.7% 211.2 7.5 7.5 65.0-374.6 5.8 13.9 13.3-5.1 38.8% 1.7-0.9 50.1%
Defense - All Games 26.4 20.2 30.40 35.9-146.6 4.1 20.7-33.8 61.3% 245.2 7.3 7.3 69.7-391.8 5.6 14.8 5.5-15.1 36.7% 1.2-2.4 48.4%
vs. Opponents Avg. Offense 25.7 20.0 30.52 37.6-160.2 4.2 17.6-29.7 59.1% 204.9 11.7 6.9 67.4-365.1 5.4 14.4 14.0-5.4 38.8% 1.9-1.0 50.1%

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 Minnesota 2024 Offensive and Defensive Statistics
    Rushing Passing Total 3rd Down Conv. 4th Down Conv.
Condition PPG FD TOP RA-RY YPR PC-PA Pct PY YPC YPA #-YDS YPP YPPT Conv-# Pct. Conv-# Pct.
Offense - All Games 26.2 20.4 31.95 31.0 -115.7 3.7 21.0-31.7 66.3% 222.2 10.6 7.0 62.7-337.8 5.4 12.9 5.9-13.0 45.6% 0.8-0.8 90.9%
vs. Opponents Avg. Defense 23.5 19.5 29.97 33.8-136.6 4.0 19.4-31.4 61.5% 216.9 6.9 6.9 65.2-353.5 5.4 15.3 13.7-5.6 41.7% 1.6-0.8 51.2%
Defense - All Games 16.9 16.1 28.06 31.3-109.6 3.5 16.9-28.7 59.0% 176.1 6.1 6.1 60.0-285.7 4.8 16.9 5.2-13.3 38.7% 0.6-1.3 47.1%
vs. Opponents Avg. Offense 26.3 19.8 30.02 35.1-158.5 4.5 18.3-29.7 61.4% 211.5 11.6 7.1 64.8-370.0 5.7 14.3 13.2-5.5 41.7% 1.6-0.8 51.2%

Returning Player and Coach Info

This table provides a summary of returning players and coaches from last season, including the number of starters and lettermen returning, as well as the tenure of each team's head coach.

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 Starters ReturningTotal Lettermen ReturningHead Coach
TeamsTotalOffenseQBDefenseNumberPct. Since
 BUFF Buffalo167Y94164.1%Pete Lembo2024
 MINN Minnesota137Y64858.5%P.J. Fleck2015

Stadium Weather Forecast

Stay informed with comprehensive stadium weather forecasts for all football games, highlighting temperature, wind, and precipitation details—essential insights for fans and bettors seeking an edge in game-day decision-making.

Key Player Injuries

Stay updated with each college football team's key impact player injury details. Find statuses, injury types, and game effect for a competitive edge in football insights.

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There are no current NCAAF injuries of significance for this game.

2025 Season Player Statistics

Explore a complete breakdown of key football player stats, including rushing, passing, and receiving. Identify trends in performance and uncover strategic insights to enhance your handicapping or DFS analysis. Stay ahead of the game with real-time data and in-depth player metrics.

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 Buffalo - 2024 All Games QB Statistics
  Passing Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class CMP ATT CPCT YDS YPC YPA >300 TD Pct INT Pct RTG ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
CJ Ogbonna
QB
SR 190 336 56.5% 2381 12.5 7.1 1 19 5.7% 5 1.5% 131.8 123 343 2.8 26 8 48 8 3
Gunnar Gray
QB
JR 4 11 36.4% 41 10.3 3.7 0 0 0.0% 1 9.1% 49.5 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0
Jack Shields
QB
JR 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0 4 8 2.0 7 0 0 0 0

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 Buffalo - 2024 All Games Top RB Statistics
  Rushing Stats Receiving Stats  
Player
Pos
Class ATT YDS YPR Long >100 >150 TD REC YDS YPC YPT Long TD PTS FUM FL
Al-Jay Henderson
RB
JR 204 1078 5.3 45 5 1 9 19 238 12.5 0.0 35 1 60 3 2
Jacqez Barksdale
RB
SR 82 306 3.7 19 0 0 2 5 26 5.2 0.0 1 0 12 0 0
Messiah Burch
RB
FR 29 153 5.3 27 0 0 2 9 99 11.0 0.0 3 0 12 0 0

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 Buffalo - 2024 All Games Top Receiver Statistics
  Receiving Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class REC YDS YPC Long >100 >150 TD ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Victor Snow
WR
SO 55 651 11.8 41 0 0 6 9 61 6.8 11 2 48 0 0
Jj Jenkins
WR
SR 36 536 14.9 49 2 0 4 0 0 0.0 0 0 24 0 0
Taji Johnson
WR
SR 20 243 12.2 32 0 0 2 0 0 0.0 0 0 12 0 0
Jacob Orlando
TE
SR 11 101 9.2 34 0 0 2 0 1 0.0 0 0 12 0 0
Javien Cuff
WR
SR 10 127 12.7 11 0 0 1 0 0 0.0 0 0 6 0 0

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 Minnesota - 2024 All Games QB Statistics
  Passing Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class CMP ATT CPCT YDS YPC YPA >300 TD Pct INT Pct RTG ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Max Brosmer
QB
SR 268 403 66.5% 2828 10.6 7.0 1 18 4.5% 6 1.5% 137.2 71 -36 -0.5 28 5 30 3 2
Drake Lindsey
QB
FR 4 5 80.0% 50 12.5 10.0 0 1 20.0% 0 0.0% 230.0 1 6 6.0 0 0 0 0 0

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 Minnesota - 2024 All Games Top RB Statistics
  Rushing Stats Receiving Stats  
Player
Pos
Class ATT YDS YPR Long >100 >150 TD REC YDS YPC YPT Long TD PTS FUM FL
Darius Taylor
RB
JR 205 986 4.8 51 5 0 10 54 350 6.5 0.0 17 2 72 1 1
Marcus Major
RB
SR 78 352 4.5 19 0 0 3 20 144 7.2 0.0 17 1 24 0 0
Jaren Mangham
RB
SR 19 123 6.5 18 0 0 0 1 7 7.0 0.0 7 0 0 0 0

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 Minnesota - 2024 All Games Top Receiver Statistics
  Receiving Stats Rushing Stats  
Player
Pos
Class REC YDS YPC Long >100 >150 TD ATT YDS YPR Long TD PTS FUM FL
Daniel Jackson
WR
SR 75 863 11.5 24 2 0 4 3 13 4.3 3 0 24 1 1
Elijah Spencer
WR
SR 52 684 13.2 28 0 0 6 0 0 0.0 0 0 36 0 0
Jameson Geers
TE
SR 27 286 10.6 23 0 0 4 0 0 0.0 0 0 24 1 1
Lemeke Brockington
WR
SR 18 282 15.7 35 0 0 1 1 2 2.0 2 0 6 1 0
Nick Kallerup
TE
SR 9 117 13.0 44 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0

Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule

This table displays the full season schedule, results, and betting outcomes for each game, along with team and opponent statistics for completed matchups and starting times for upcoming games.

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Buffalo - Recent Results
 Team Game StatsOpponent Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
08/28/2025 @MINN @Minnesota8:00p+17.545.5
09/06/2025 SFPA Saint Francis (PA)12:00p
09/13/2025 @KENT @Kent State12:00p

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Minnesota - Recent Results
 Team Game StatsOpponent Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
08/28/2025 BUFF Buffalo8:00p-17.545.5
09/06/2025 NWST Northwestern State12:00p
09/13/2025 @CAL @California12:00p

Top Betting Systems

Betting Systems Favoring Buffalo
Bet against - A home team - team with a good scoring defense last season - allowed 17 or less points/game, in weeks 0-3.
System applies to: Minnesota.

System's record since 2021: 41-15 (73.2%) with an average line of +23.7  (+24.5 unit$, ROI=39.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 15.2, Opponent 32.6
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Betting Systems Favoring Under
Bet under - All teams when the first half total is 24.5 or less - first week of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record, in weeks 0-3.
System applies to: Buffalo.

System's record since 1992: 39-13 (75%) with an average first half total of 22.8  (+24.7 unit$, ROI=43.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 8.8, Opponent 11.2
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Bet under - All teams when the first half total is 24.5 or less - first week of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, in weeks 0-3.
System applies to: Buffalo.

System's record since 1992: 60-26 (69.8%) with an average first half total of 22.8  (+31.4 unit$, ROI=33.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 10.7, Opponent 9.0
The system's record this season is: (0-0, 0.0 units).

Top Team Trends

Explore top team betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the spread, money line, over/under, 1st half odds, and 1st half totals. Trends displayed have a demonstrated edge against the line referenced.
Trends Favoring Minnesota.
Bet on Minnesota in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49.
Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 5-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of -5.9. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%).
The average score of these games was Golden Gophers 34.4, Opponents 13.2.
Bet on Minnesota in all games.
Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 10-2 (83%) ATS with an average line of -2.9. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=54.5%).
The average score of these games was Golden Gophers 26.2, Opponents 16.9.
Bet on Minnesota in all lined games.
Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 10-2 (83%) ATS with an average line of -2.9. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=54.5%).
The average score of these games was Golden Gophers 26.2, Opponents 16.9.
Bet on Minnesota on the 1st half line versus the 1rst half line in home games.
Minnesota record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -2.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Golden Gophers 18.3, Opponents 7.1.
Bet on Minnesota on the 1st half line versus the 1rst half line in home games.
Minnesota record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -2.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Golden Gophers 18.3, Opponents 7.1.
Bet on Minnesota on the 1st half line in a home game where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5.
Minnesota record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -3.0. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Golden Gophers 20.0, Opponents 7.2.
Bet on Minnesota in home games on the 1st half line in the first half of the season.
Minnesota record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of -3.5. (+5.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Golden Gophers 15.0, Opponents 4.8.
Bet on Minnesota on the 1st half line in games played on turf.
Minnesota record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 10-2 (83%) with an average 1st half line of -1.5. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=59.1%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Golden Gophers 15.7, Opponents 8.8.

Key Coaching Trends

Explore top team betting trends for upcoming games, covering records vs. the spread, money line, over/under, 1st half odds, and 1st half totals. Trends displayed have a demonstrated edge against the line referenced.
Key Coaching Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in P.J. Fleck games against MAC opponents.
The 1st half Under's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 25.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was MINNESOTA 12.7, Opponents 6.0
Bet under the 1st half total in P.J. Fleck home games in the first two weeks of the season.
The 1st half Under's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 10-2 (83%) with an average 1st half over/under of 26.0. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=59.1%)
The average 1st half score of these games was MINNESOTA 17.2, Opponents 4.4

CFB Rating Score Projections

Explore game score projections using StatSharp's proprietary power ratings formula. Get insights on value edges against the spread, money line, over/under, and team totals.

CFB Game Simulation

Simulated football scores and stats, based on recent averages, schedule strength, and home field. Highlights key edges and potential performance advantages.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesRushingPassingTotalTurnovers
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdgeRA-RYYPRPA-PYYPAATT-YDSYPPFL-INT
 BUFF Buffalo14Ov (+10.7)5Ov (+4.6)32-882.821-1065.053-1943.61-1
 MINN Minnesota43MINN (+11.5) 22MINN (+7) 38-1734.639-3438.777-5166.71-1