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| Thursday, 04/10/2025 7:37 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 NYR | 39 | 39-36-7, 85 pts. | SHESTERKIN | -110 | 6o+05 | +100 | 5.5o-20 |
 NYI | 40 | 35-35-12, 82 pts. | HOGBERG | -110 | 6u-25 | -120 | 5.5e-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| NYR | 3.01 | SHESTERKIN | +100 | 50.0% | -175 | 63.7% | NYR (+13.7%) |
| NYI | 2.12 | HOGBERG | -120 | 54.5% | +-175 | 36.3% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| NYR | SHESTERKIN | 2.46 | +100 | 50.0% | -108 | 51.8% | NYR (+1.8%) | 5.5o-20 | 4.8 | 29 | 3-0 | 5 | |
| NYI | HOGBERG | 2.35 | -120 | 54.5% | +108 | 48.2% | 5.5e-10 | 4.8 | UN (+0.7) | 33 | 4-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring NY Rangers | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on NY Rangers on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. NY Rangers record during the 2025 season: 29-4 (88%) with an average money line of -164. (+23.2 unit$, ROI=42.8%) The average score of these games was Rangers 3.5, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet against NY Islanders on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. NY Islanders record during the 2025 season: 3-26 (10%) with an average money line of -110. (-29.0 unit$, ROI=-91.2%) The average score of these games was Islanders 1.1, Opponents 3.0. |
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| Trends Favoring NY Islanders | |
|---|---|
| Bet against NY Rangers on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. NY Rangers record during the 2025 season: 6-26 (19%) with an average money line of -128. (-28.8 unit$, ROI=-70.5%) The average score of these games was Rangers 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet on NY Islanders on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. NY Islanders record since the 2024 season: 49-11 (82%) with an average money line of -122. (+41.7 unit$, ROI=56.7%) The average score of these games was Islanders 3.0, Opponents 1.5. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in NY Rangers games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-6 (81%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-108. (+18.9 unit$, ROI=52.8%) The average score of these games was Rangers 3.5, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet under the total in NY Rangers games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-110. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=50.9%) The average score of these games was Rangers 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in NY Islanders games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 23-4 (85%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-117. (+18.0 unit$, ROI=52.9%) The average score of these games was Islanders 1.1, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet under the total in NY Islanders games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+18.5 unit$, ROI=52.4%) The average score of these games was Islanders 2.7, Opponents 1.5. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.