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| Thursday, 04/10/2025 7:37 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 CAR | 37 | 47-30-5, 99 pts. | ANDERSEN | -120 | 6o+05 | -165 | 6o-15 |
 WAS | 38 | 51-22-9, 111 pts. | LINDGREN | +100 | 6u-25 | +145 | 6u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| CAR | 3.03 | ANDERSEN | -165 | 62.3% | -115 | 53.4% | |
| WAS | 2.77 | LINDGREN | +145 | 40.8% | +-115 | 46.6% | WAS (+5.7%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| CAR | ANDERSEN | 1.54 | -165 | 62.3% | +216 | 31.6% | 6o-15 | 4.0 | 30 | 4-1 | 3 | ||
| WAS | LINDGREN | 2.47 | +145 | 40.8% | -216 | 68.4% | WAS (+27.5%) | 6u-05 | 4.0 | UN (+2.0) | 28 | 4-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 35-1 (97%) with an average money line of -219. (+33.2 unit$, ROI=42.1%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet against Washington on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 3-20 (13%) with an average money line of -123. (-25.0 unit$, ROI=-88.0%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.4, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet against Washington in home games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Washington record since the 2023 season: 4-23 (15%) with an average money line of -124. (-28.4 unit$, ROI=-84.6%) The average score of these games was Capitals 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
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| Trends Favoring Washington | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-23 (15%) with an average money line of -191. (-40.0 unit$, ROI=-77.7%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record since the 2024 season: 6-20 (23%) with an average money line of -171. (-27.4 unit$, ROI=-61.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 32-3 (91%) with an average money line of -141. (+29.8 unit$, ROI=60.2%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Washington record since the 2024 season: 27-6 (82%) with an average money line of -121. (+21.1 unit$, ROI=52.9%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.6, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 20-4 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-113. (+15.2 unit$, ROI=50.0%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-107. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=46.3%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Washington games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-3 (86%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-108. (+15.1 unit$, ROI=60.8%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.4, Opponents 3.0. |
| Bet under the total in Washington away or ne games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-115. (+10.1 unit$, ROI=51.5%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.