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| Tuesday, 04/15/2025 7:37 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 WAS | 63 | 51-22-9, 111 pts. | LINDGREN | -105 | 6o+10 | -115 | 6e-10 |
 NYI | 64 | 35-35-12, 82 pts. | SOROKIN | -115 | 6u-30 | -105 | 6u-20 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| WAS | 2.77 | LINDGREN | -115 | 53.5% | -153 | 60.4% | WAS (+6.9%) |
| NYI | 2.12 | SOROKIN | -105 | 51.2% | +-153 | 39.6% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| WAS | LINDGREN | 2.47 | -115 | 53.5% | -154 | 60.7% | WAS (+7.2%) | 6e-10 | 4.4 | 31 | 3-1 | 5 | |
| NYI | SOROKIN | 1.90 | -105 | 51.2% | +154 | 39.3% | 6u-20 | 4.4 | UN (+1.6) | 31 | 4-1 | 3 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Washington | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 32-3 (91%) with an average money line of -141. (+29.8 unit$, ROI=60.2%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Washington on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Washington record since the 2024 season: 27-6 (82%) with an average money line of -121. (+21.1 unit$, ROI=52.9%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.6, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against NY Islanders on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. NY Islanders record during the 2025 season: 4-27 (13%) with an average money line of -107. (-28.5 unit$, ROI=-85.6%) The average score of these games was Islanders 1.1, Opponents 3.1. |
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| Trends Favoring NY Islanders | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Washington on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Washington record during the 2025 season: 3-22 (12%) with an average money line of -124. (-27.7 unit$, ROI=-89.2%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet on NY Islanders on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. NY Islanders record since the 2024 season: 50-11 (82%) with an average money line of -121. (+43.4 unit$, ROI=58.8%) The average score of these games was Islanders 3.0, Opponents 1.4. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Washington games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 48-12 (80%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+35.7 unit$, ROI=48.4%) The average score of these games was Capitals 3.4, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Washington games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 19-4 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.9 unit$, ROI=54.7%) The average score of these games was Capitals 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in NY Islanders games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+19.5 unit$, ROI=53.7%) The average score of these games was Islanders 2.6, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in NY Islanders games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-117. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=49.5%) The average score of these games was Islanders 1.1, Opponents 3.1. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.