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| Thursday, 04/17/2025 7:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 PHI | 9 | 33-39-10, 76 pts. | KOLOSOV | +115 | 6.5o+05 | +145 | 6.5o-10 |
 BUF | 10 | 36-39-7, 79 pts. | REIMER | -135 | 6.5u-25 | -165 | 6.5u-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| PHI | 2.39 | KOLOSOV | +145 | 40.8% | +144 | 41.1% | PHI (+0.2%) |
| BUF | 2.95 | REIMER | -165 | 62.3% | -144 | 58.9% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| PHI | KOLOSOV | 2.02 | +145 | 40.8% | +267 | 27.3% | 6.5o-10 | 5.7 | 29 | 3-0 | 4 | ||
| BUF | REIMER | 3.69 | -165 | 62.3% | -267 | 72.7% | BUF (+10.5%) | 6.5u-10 | 5.7 | UN (+0.8) | 30 | 3-1 | 6 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Buffalo | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Philadelphia on the money line when they allow 4 goals. Philadelphia record since the 2024 season: 4-23 (15%) with an average money line of +117. (-21.0 unit$, ROI=-77.6%) The average score of these games was Flyers 2.6, Opponents 4.0. |
| Bet against Philadelphia on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Philadelphia record during the 2025 season: 6-29 (17%) with an average money line of +137. (-22.1 unit$, ROI=-63.1%) The average score of these games was Flyers 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet on Buffalo on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Buffalo record during the 2025 season: 25-2 (93%) with an average money line of +110. (+30.1 unit$, ROI=111.3%) The average score of these games was Sabres 3.9, Opponents 1.6. |
| Bet on Buffalo on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Buffalo record during the 2025 season: 19-1 (95%) with an average money line of -103. (+22.1 unit$, ROI=107.6%) The average score of these games was Sabres 4.0, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet on Buffalo in home games on the money line when they score 4 goals. Buffalo record during the 2025 season: 7-1 (88%) with an average money line of +122. (+8.2 unit$, ROI=102.5%) The average score of these games was Sabres 4.0, Opponents 3.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Over | |
|---|---|
 | Bet over the total in Buffalo games when they score 4 goals. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-112. (+12.2 unit$, ROI=63.8%) The average score of these games was Sabres 4.0, Opponents 3.6. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Philadelphia games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-5 (86%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-107. (+25.1 unit$, ROI=66.8%) The average score of these games was Flyers 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.