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| Thursday, 04/17/2025 7:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 DET | 11 | 39-35-8, 86 pts. | MRAZEK | +125 | 6e-10 | +145 | 6o-05 |
 TOR | 12 | 52-26-4, 108 pts. | WOLL | -145 | 6u-20 | -165 | 6u-15 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| DET | 3.37 | MRAZEK | +145 | 40.8% | +150 | 39.9% | |
| TOR | 4.30 | WOLL | -165 | 62.3% | -150 | 60.1% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| DET | MRAZEK | 1.75 | +145 | 40.8% | +363 | 21.6% | 6o-05 | 5.6 | 31 | 3-1 | 3 | ||
| TOR | WOLL | 3.84 | -165 | 62.3% | -363 | 78.4% | TOR (+16.1%) | 6u-15 | 5.6 | UN (+0.4) | 30 | 3-1 | 7 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Toronto | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Detroit in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Detroit record during the 2025 season: 1-18 (5%) with an average money line of +160. (-16.7 unit$, ROI=-87.6%) The average score of these games was Red Wings 1.2, Opponents 3.5. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they score 4 goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 15-1 (94%) with an average money line of -127. (+16.7 unit$, ROI=82.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 4.0, Opponents 2.3. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 32-4 (89%) with an average money line of -166. (+28.1 unit$, ROI=47.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Toronto in home games on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 10-0 (100%) with an average money line of -204. (+10.0 unit$, ROI=49.0%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 4.3, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Detroit games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-6 (81%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-110. (+19.9 unit$, ROI=50.4%) The average score of these games was Red Wings 1.4, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-6 (83%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-114. (+23.5 unit$, ROI=57.3%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.