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Thursday, 04/24/2025 9:30 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Winnipeg leads series 2 games to 0. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 67 | 58-22-4, 120 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | -130 | 5o-25 | -120 | 5o-25 |
![]() | 68 | 44-32-8, 96 pts. | BINNINGTON | +110 | 5u+05 | +100 | 5u+05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 4.28 | HELLEBUYCK | -120 | 54.5% | -117 | 54.0% | |
![]() | 3.86 | BINNINGTON | +100 | 50.0% | +-117 | 46.0% |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 1.69 | -120 | 54.5% | +164 | 37.9% | 5o-25 | 4.0 | 24 | 3-0 | 3 | ||
![]() | BINNINGTON | 2.29 | +100 | 50.0% | -164 | 62.1% | STL (+12.1%) | 5u+05 | 4.0 | UN (+1.0) | 27 | 3-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
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![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 44-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+40.9 unit$, ROI=52.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet against Saint Louis on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 5-29 (15%) with an average money line of +131. (-25.4 unit$, ROI=-74.7%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
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Trends Favoring Saint Louis | |
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![]() | Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of -134. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-109.9%) The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.3. |
![]() | Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-22 (27%) with an average money line of -161. (-22.8 unit$, ROI=-47.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 33-7 (83%) with an average money line of +101. (+32.8 unit$, ROI=81.9%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Saint Louis record since the 2023 season: 39-11 (78%) with an average money line of +110. (+37.4 unit$, ROI=74.7%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+20.3 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-11 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=40.8%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-111. (+18.8 unit$, ROI=49.5%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-9 (77%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-114. (+20.1 unit$, ROI=44.0%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.