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Thursday, 04/24/2025 9:30 PM 
NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Winnipeg leads series 2 games to 0.
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-L-OTL PTSGoalieMLO/UMLO/U
 WPG Winnipeg (1)6758-22-4, 120 pts.HELLEBUYCK-1305o-25-1205o-25
 STL Saint Louis (4)6844-32-8, 96 pts.BINNINGTON+1105u+05+1005u+05

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & Injuries🔒GoaliesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NHL Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Explore comprehensive NHL betting insights with StatSharp’s power rating line projections based on team power ratings and goaltender performance. This section provides detailed analysis of estimated betting lines, money lines, and win probabilities for all the current NHL matchup. Compare sportsbook odds with StatSharp’s advanced power ratings to uncover edges and value in the betting market.

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Teams Actual LineEstimated Line 
 RatingGoalieMLB.E.MLWin%Edge%
 WPG Winnipeg4.28HELLEBUYCK-12054.5%-11754.0%
 STL Saint Louis3.86BINNINGTON+10050.0%+-11746.0%

Game Simulation Results

This table shows average projected scores, win probabilities, and game statistics including shots on goal, power play goals, and assists from our hockey game simulation. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
  Actual LineEstimated Line Over/UnderProjected Stats
TeamsGoaliesScoreMLB.E.MLWin%EdgeO/UEst.EdgeSOGPPAST
 WPG WinnipegHELLEBUYCK1.69-12054.5%+16437.9%5o-254.0243-03
 STL Saint LouisBINNINGTON2.29+10050.0%-16462.1%STL (+12.1%)5u+054.0UN (+1.0)273-14

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

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Trends Favoring Winnipeg
Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals.
Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 44-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+40.9 unit$, ROI=52.3%)
The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2.
Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals.
Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%)
The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0.
Bet against Saint Louis on the money line when they score 2 or less goals.
Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 5-29 (15%) with an average money line of +131. (-25.4 unit$, ROI=-74.7%)
The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2.

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Trends Favoring Saint Louis
Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals.
Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average money line of -134. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-109.9%)
The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.3.
Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals.
Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-22 (27%) with an average money line of -161. (-22.8 unit$, ROI=-47.2%)
The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.0.
Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals.
Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 33-7 (83%) with an average money line of +101. (+32.8 unit$, ROI=81.9%)
The average score of these games was Blues 3.4, Opponents 1.4.
Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 goals.
Saint Louis record since the 2023 season: 39-11 (78%) with an average money line of +110. (+37.4 unit$, ROI=74.7%)
The average score of these games was Blues 3.7, Opponents 2.0.

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Trends Favoring Under
Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+20.3 unit$, ROI=61.5%)
The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.0.
Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-11 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=40.8%)
The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2.
Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they score 2 or less goals.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-111. (+18.8 unit$, ROI=49.5%)
The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2.
Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they allow 2 or less goals.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-9 (77%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-114. (+20.1 unit$, ROI=44.0%)
The average score of these games was Blues 3.4, Opponents 1.4.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.

Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.

Betting Lines

ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.

B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.

Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.

Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.

Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.

Game Simulation

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.

Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.

Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.

O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.

Projected Game Stats

SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.

PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.

AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.

Trends & Insights

Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.

Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.