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| Saturday, 04/26/2025 9:30 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Dallas leads series 2 games to 1. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 DAL | 7 | 52-27-6, 110 pts. | OETTINGER | +155 | 6o-30 | +165 | 6o-15 |
 COL | 8 | 50-29-6, 106 pts. | BLACKWOOD | -175 | 6u+10 | -190 | 6u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| DAL | 3.18 | OETTINGER | +165 | 37.7% | +141 | 41.6% | DAL (+3.8%) |
| COL | 3.89 | BLACKWOOD | -190 | 65.5% | -141 | 58.4% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| DAL | OETTINGER | 1.67 | +165 | 37.7% | +271 | 27.0% | 6o-15 | 4.7 | 27 | 4-1 | 3 | ||
| COL | BLACKWOOD | 3.06 | -190 | 65.5% | -271 | 73.0% | COL (+7.5%) | 6u-05 | 4.7 | UN (+1.3) | 38 | 4-1 | 6 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Colorado | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 7-21 (25%) with an average money line of -163. (-27.9 unit$, ROI=-60.9%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.6, Opponents 2.9. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-2 (93%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+24.3 unit$, ROI=79.2%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.6, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=73.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.4. |
| Bet under the total in Colorado games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-9 (77%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-109. (+21.0 unit$, ROI=45.8%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.