More NHL Games |
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| Saturday, 04/26/2025 4:00 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Series tied 1 games to 1. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 LVG | 3 | 51-23-10, 112 pts. | HILL | ||||
 MIN | 4 | 46-31-7, 99 pts. | GUSTAVSSON | NL | NL | ||
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| LVG | 3.80 | HILL | 0.0% | -146 | 59.4% | LVG (+59.4%) | |
| MIN | 2.99 | GUSTAVSSON | 0.0% | +-146 | 40.6% | MIN (+40.6%) | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| LVG | HILL | 1.92 | 0.0% | -116 | 53.8% | 3.7 | 32 | 2-1 | 4 | ||||
| MIN | GUSTAVSSON | 1.75 | 0.0% | +116 | 46.2% | NL | 3.7 | 27 | 3-1 | 3 | |||
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Vegas | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Vegas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 38-4 (90%) with an average money line of -170. (+32.7 unit$, ROI=45.8%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet against Minnesota on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 5-32 (14%) with an average money line of +114. (-30.0 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average score of these games was Wild 1.2, Opponents 3.6. |
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| Trends Favoring Minnesota | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-20 (13%) with an average money line of -148. (-27.2 unit$, ROI=-79.7%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.3, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-11 (15%) with an average money line of -150. (-14.2 unit$, ROI=-72.8%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 34-4 (89%) with an average money line of -130. (+35.6 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.1, Opponents 1.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Vegas away or ne games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-105. (+10.3 unit$, ROI=75.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.2, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-107. (+25.8 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-4 (82%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-111. (+13.8 unit$, ROI=54.0%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.3, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-5 (86%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+25.2 unit$, ROI=60.0%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.1, Opponents 1.3. |
| Bet under the total in Minnesota away or ne games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-106. (+12.5 unit$, ROI=84.1%) The average score of these games was Wild 2.6, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet under the total in Minnesota away or ne games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 15-2 (88%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+12.8 unit$, ROI=64.9%) The average score of these games was Wild 2.0, Opponents 2.5. |
| Bet under the total in Minnesota away or ne games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 26-7 (79%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+18.4 unit$, ROI=46.6%) The average score of these games was Wild 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.