More NHL Games |
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| Wednesday, 05/07/2025 9:30 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 DAL | 83 | 54-29-6, 114 pts. | OETTINGER | -110 | 5.5o-20 | -115 | 5.5o-15 |
 WPG | 84 | 60-25-4, 124 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | -110 | 5.5e-10 | -105 | 5.5u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| DAL | 3.24 | OETTINGER | -115 | 53.5% | +137 | 42.2% | |
| WPG | 3.91 | HELLEBUYCK | -105 | 51.2% | -137 | 57.8% | WPG (+6.6%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| DAL | OETTINGER | 1.45 | -115 | 53.5% | +378 | 20.9% | 5.5o-15 | 4.7 | 26 | 3-1 | 3 | ||
| WPG | HELLEBUYCK | 3.27 | -105 | 51.2% | -378 | 79.1% | WPG (+27.9%) | 5.5u-05 | 4.7 | UN (+0.8) | 37 | 4-1 | 6 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 1 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 0-11 (0%) with an average money line of -144. (-16.9 unit$, ROI=-106.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 0.8, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 7-22 (24%) with an average money line of -159. (-28.9 unit$, ROI=-62.5%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.6, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 1 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 29-0 (100%) with an average money line of -167. (+30.6 unit$, ROI=63.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.6, Opponents 0.7. |
| Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 44-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+40.9 unit$, ROI=52.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-111. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=90.2%) The average score of these games was Stars 0.8, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-2 (93%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+25.3 unit$, ROI=79.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.6, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-3 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-111. (+21.8 unit$, ROI=67.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.6, Opponents 0.7. |
| Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-11 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=40.8%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.