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Sunday, 05/18/2025 7:30 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied 3 games to 3. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 27 | 54-35-4, 112 pts. | BOBROVSKY | -130 | 5.5o+15 | -130 | 5.5o+35 |
![]() | 28 | 59-29-6, 124 pts. | WOLL | +110 | 5.5u-35 | +110 | 5.5u-55 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 4.04 | BOBROVSKY | -130 | 56.5% | -102 | 50.5% | |
![]() | 3.97 | WOLL | +110 | 47.6% | +-102 | 49.5% | TOR (+1.9%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | BOBROVSKY | 1.83 | -130 | 56.5% | +164 | 37.9% | 5.5o+35 | 4.3 | 31 | 4-1 | 3 | ||
![]() | WOLL | 2.47 | +110 | 47.6% | -164 | 62.1% | TOR (+14.5%) | 5.5u-55 | 4.3 | UN (+1.2) | 28 | 4-1 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Florida | |
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![]() | Bet on Florida on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 38-4 (90%) with an average money line of -190. (+32.2 unit$, ROI=40.4%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.5, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet against Toronto on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 5-28 (15%) with an average money line of -135. (-35.8 unit$, ROI=-80.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
![]() | Bet against Toronto in home games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Toronto record since the 2023 season: 7-24 (23%) with an average money line of -162. (-33.5 unit$, ROI=-66.8%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
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Trends Favoring Toronto | |
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![]() | Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 8-29 (22%) with an average money line of -165. (-39.3 unit$, ROI=-64.2%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 2.9. |
![]() | Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 37-5 (88%) with an average money line of -156. (+32.9 unit$, ROI=50.3%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Toronto in home games on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 12-0 (100%) with an average money line of -197. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=50.8%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 4.3, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-7 (81%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+21.4 unit$, ROI=51.3%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 2.9. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Florida games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 31-10 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+20.4 unit$, ROI=44.0%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.5, Opponents 1.1. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 34-8 (81%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-112. (+25.4 unit$, ROI=53.7%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.3, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Toronto away or ne games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-3 (81%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+9.6 unit$, ROI=51.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.2, Opponents 3.6. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.