NHL Game Simulation Projections |
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Thursday, April 24, 2025 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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6:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | BOBROVSKY | 1.38 | -105 | 51.2% | +236 | 29.8% | 5.5o-20 | 3.7 | 29 | 3-1 | 2 | ||||||
![]() | VASILEVSKIY | 2.34 | -115 | 53.5% | -236 | 70.2% | TBL (+16.8%) | 5.5uev | 3.7 | UN (+1.8) | 26 | 4-1 | 5 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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7:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | STOLARZ | 3.06 | +110 | 47.6% | -252 | 71.6% | TOR (+23.9%) | 5.5o-15 | 4.8 | 31 | 3-1 | 5 | |||||
![]() | ULLMARK | 1.74 | -130 | 56.5% | +252 | 28.4% | 5.5u-05 | 4.8 | UN (+0.7) | 32 | 4-1 | 3 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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9:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | HILL | 1.92 | -160 | 61.5% | -116 | 53.8% | 5.5o-20 | 3.7 | 32 | 2-1 | 4 | ||||||
![]() | GUSTAVSSON | 1.75 | +140 | 41.7% | +116 | 46.2% | MIN (+4.5%) | 5.5uev | 3.7 | UN (+1.8) | 27 | 3-1 | 3 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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9:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 1.71 | -120 | 54.5% | +160 | 38.4% | 5o-35 | 4.0 | 25 | 3-0 | 3 | ||||||
![]() | BINNINGTON | 2.28 | +100 | 50.0% | -160 | 61.6% | STL (+11.6%) | 5u+15 | 4.0 | UN (+1.0) | 27 | 3-1 | 4 |
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Friday, April 25, 2025 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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7:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | THOMPSON | 2.46 | -125 | 55.6% | -150 | 60.0% | WAS (+4.5%) | 5.5o-20 | 4.4 | 30 | 3-1 | 5 | |||||
![]() | MONTEMBEAULT | 1.92 | +105 | 48.8% | +150 | 40.0% | 5.5uev | 4.4 | UN (+1.1) | 28 | 4-1 | 4 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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8:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | ANDERSEN | 1.88 | -170 | 63.0% | -122 | 54.9% | 5.5o+05 | 3.6 | 31 | 4-1 | 3 | ||||||
![]() | MARKSTROM | 1.67 | +150 | 40.0% | +122 | 45.1% | NJD (+5.1%) | 5.5u-25 | 3.6 | UN (+1.9) | 26 | 4-1 | 3 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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10:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | KUEMPER | 3.09 | +110 | 47.6% | -296 | 74.7% | LAK (+27.1%) | 5.5o-35 | 4.7 | 29 | 4-1 | 6 | |||||
![]() | SKINNER | 1.59 | -130 | 56.5% | +296 | 25.3% | 5.5u+15 | 4.7 | UN (+0.8) | 31 | 4-1 | 3 |
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Saturday, April 26, 2025 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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1:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | VASILEVSKIY | 2.02 | 0.0% | -151 | 60.1% | 3.6 | 24 | 4-1 | 4 | ||||||||
![]() | BOBROVSKY | 1.57 | 0.0% | +151 | 39.9% | NL | 3.6 | 31 | 4-1 | 3 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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4:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | HILL | 1.92 | 0.0% | -116 | 53.8% | 3.7 | 32 | 2-1 | 4 | ||||||||
![]() | GUSTAVSSON | 1.75 | 0.0% | +116 | 46.2% | NL | 3.7 | 27 | 3-1 | 3 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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7:00 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | STOLARZ | 3.06 | 0.0% | -252 | 71.6% | 4.8 | 31 | 3-1 | 5 | ||||||||
![]() | ULLMARK | 1.74 | 0.0% | +252 | 28.4% | NL | 4.8 | 32 | 4-1 | 3 |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||||
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9:30 PM | Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | |||||||||||||
Matchup | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST | ||||
![]() | OETTINGER | 1.67 | +165 | 37.7% | +271 | 27.0% | 6o-20 | 4.7 | 27 | 4-1 | 3 | ||||||
![]() | BLACKWOOD | 3.06 | -190 | 65.5% | -271 | 73.0% | COL (+7.5%) | 6uev | 4.7 | UN (+1.3) | 38 | 4-1 | 6 |
Matchup: The teams participating in the game simulation.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team in the simulated matchup.
Score: The projected final score based on the simulation.
ML (Money Line): The odds for betting on the team to win straight up.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The win probability needed for a bettor to break even at the listed money line.
Win %: The team’s win probability based on simulation results.
Edge: The calculated difference between the actual betting odds and the estimated odds from the simulation.
O/U (Over/Under): The total goals set by sportsbooks for the game.
Est.: The estimated total goals scored based on simulation results.
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Plays): The projected number of power play goals for the team.
AST (Assists): The projected number of assists for the team in the game.
Updated: The most recent date when the simulation data was last updated.
Note: All projections are based on proprietary simulation models and are updated regularly to reflect current game conditions and team performance.