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| Monday, 05/19/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 SEA | 617 | 0-1 | -3 | -3.5 | -165 | -2 |
 DAL | 618 | 0-1 | 166.5 | 166.5 | +145 | 84 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| SEA | 81 | -4 | -3.5 | SEA (+0.5) |
| DAL | 75 | |||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| SEA | 87 | Ov (+5.9) | 44 | Ov (+3.1) | 33-72 | 46.1% | 6-22 | 29.0% | 15-17 | 84.8% | 41 | 8 | 12 | ||
| DAL | 85 | DAL (+1.5) | 43 | DAL (+2) | 32-70 | 45.4% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 15-20 | 76.1% | 46 | 10 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the spread 536 times, while Seattle covered the spread 464 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 653 games went over the total, while 347 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Seattle won the game straight up 534 times, while Dallas won 439 times. Edge on the money line=Dallas. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the first half line 524 times, while Seattle covered the first half line 433 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 599 games went over the first half total, while 362 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 645 times, and failed to cover 355 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Seattle covered the 4 point teaser line 561 times, and failed to cover 439 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 750 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 250 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 460 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 540 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Seattle. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-17 (6%) with an average money line of +260. (-17.1 unit$, ROI=-94.7%) The average score of these games was Wings 81.3, Opponents 93.2. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 3-22 (12%) with an average money line of +219. (-22.6 unit$, ROI=-90.4%) The average score of these games was Wings 82.1, Opponents 91.7. |
| Bet against Dallas in road games on the 1st half line in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers. Dallas record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-8 (0%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (-8.8 unit$, ROI=-80.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Wings 39.3, Opponents 48.3. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 165.9. (+10.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 84.7, Opponents 91.9. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 166.9. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 86.1, Opponents 91.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%) The average score of these games was Wings 42.4, Opponents 45.5. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 9-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.5. (+9.0 unit$, ROI=81.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 44.6, Opponents 47.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 20-5 (80%) with an average 1st half over/under of 85.5. (+14.5 unit$, ROI=50.7%) The average score of these games was Wings 42.8, Opponents 45.4. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.