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| Thursday, 07/03/2025 7:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 LAS | 601 | 5-13 | 168.5 | 171 | +375 | 86.5 |
 NYL | 602 | 12-5 | -12.5 | -10 | -550 | -6 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| LAS | 74 | |||
| NYL | 86 | -14 | -10 | NYL (+4) |
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| LAS | 76 | 38 | 28-67 | 41.7% | 8-24 | 32.8% | 12-16 | 76.8% | 42 | 8 | 16 | ||||
| NYL | 89 | NYL (+3) | Un (+5.6) | 45 | Un (+3.4) | 31-67 | 46.7% | 10-28 | 35.6% | 17-20 | 83.3% | 43 | 7 | 13 | |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the spread 567 times, while Los Angeles covered the spread 403 times. Edge against the spread=New York. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 646 games went under the total, while 331 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York won the game straight up 799 times, while Los Angeles won 183 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the first half line 508 times, while Los Angeles covered the first half line 462 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 626 games went under the first half total, while 374 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 667 times, and failed to cover 312 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the 4 point teaser line 514 times, and failed to cover 460 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 441 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 539 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 739 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 239 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Los Angeles. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against New York when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. New York record since the 2024 season: 2-12 (14%) ATS with an average line of -9.3. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-72.7%). The average score of these games was Liberty 86.4, Opponents 83.1. |
| Trends Favoring New York. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on New York on the money line when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game. New York record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average money line of -526. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=15.4%) The average score of these games was Liberty 85.1, Opponents 78.4. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 1-9 (10%) with an average money line of +161. (-12.4 unit$, ROI=-123.5%) The average score of these games was Sparks 81.8, Opponents 92.8. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 1-12 (8%) with an average money line of +237. (-13.7 unit$, ROI=-105.4%) The average score of these games was Sparks 79.4, Opponents 88.5. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 1-12 (8%) with an average money line of +252. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-103.5%) The average score of these games was Sparks 76.9, Opponents 85.6. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of -134. (-10.7 unit$, ROI=-132.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 80.8, Opponents 87.2. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 2-9 (18%) with an average money line of -143. (-16.9 unit$, ROI=-107.0%) The average score of these games was Sparks 82.7, Opponents 88.0. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 10-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 163.5. (+10.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 81.8, Opponents 92.8. |
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles games when they allow 88 to 92 points in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 164.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 84.3, Opponents 89.3. |
| Bet over the total in New York games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2023 season: 43-10 (81%) with an average over/under of 164.8. (+32.0 unit$, ROI=52.9%) The average score of these games was Liberty 94.7, Opponents 81.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Los Angeles away games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-2 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.5. (+9.8 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Sparks 42.5, Opponents 47.4. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in New York games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+11.9 unit$, ROI=77.3%) The average score of these games was Liberty 46.3, Opponents 42.0. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in New York games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 41-11 (79%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+28.9 unit$, ROI=47.8%) The average score of these games was Liberty 50.3, Opponents 41.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in New York games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 18-3 (86%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+14.7 unit$, ROI=63.6%) The average score of these games was Liberty 45.9, Opponents 40.6. |
| Bet over the 4 point teaser total in Los Angeles games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The Over 4 point teaser's record since the 2024 season: 27-0 (100%) with an average over teaser total of 160.4. (+27.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 84.2, Opponents 93.3. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.