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| Saturday, 07/05/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 GS | 613 | 9-7 | 157.5 | 155 | +325 | 78.5 |
 MIN | 614 | 15-3 | -8.5 | -9 | -450 | -5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| GS | 83 | GS (+2) | ||
| MIN | 88 | -7 | -9 | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| GS | 74 | GS (+4) | 37 | GS (+2) | 26-68 | 38.2% | 8-30 | 27.4% | 14-18 | 78.6% | 47 | 10 | 15 | ||
| MIN | 80 | Un (+1) | 40 | Un (+1.1) | 29-68 | 42.8% | 9-25 | 35.0% | 13-16 | 79.9% | 44 | 7 | 13 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 562 times, while Minnesota covered the spread 407 times. Edge against the spread=Golden State. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 525 games went under the total, while 447 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota won the game straight up 641 times, while Golden State won 334 times. Edge on the money line=Golden State. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 568 times, while Minnesota covered the first half line 391 times. Edge against the first half line=Golden State. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 552 games went under the first half total, while 448 games went over the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 520 times, and failed to cover 458 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 673 times, and failed to cover 310 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 567 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 408 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 628 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 352 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Golden State. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=80.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 42.0, Opponents 38.6. |
| Bet against Minnesota on the 1st half line when they allow 70 to 75 points in a game. Minnesota record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of -6.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Lynx 40.0, Opponents 41.8. |
| Trends Favoring Minnesota. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Minnesota when their opponents make 36% to 39% of their shots in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) ATS with an average line of -3.8. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=61.4%). The average score of these games was Lynx 82.8, Opponents 71.8. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when their opponents make 36% to 39% of their shots in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average money line of -334. (+14.6 unit$, ROI=27.3%) The average score of these games was Lynx 82.8, Opponents 71.8. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when their opponents make 22% to 28% of their 3 pointers in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 15-2 (88%) with an average money line of -361. (+13.2 unit$, ROI=21.4%) The average score of these games was Lynx 82.2, Opponents 72.4. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average over/under of 159.4. (+10.9 unit$, ROI=76.2%) The average score of these games was Lynx 78.0, Opponents 73.2. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.