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Thursday, 07/10/2025 7:30 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 LVA
 Las Vegas
6119-10158158+14580
 WAS
 Washington
6129-10-2.5-3.5-165-2

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 LVA Las Vegas81 LVA (+1.5)
 WAS Washington81-2-3.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 LVA Las Vegas77LVA (+0.5) 39LVA (+2) 27-6640.5%8-2632.0%15-1883.3%41713
 WAS Washington80Un (+1.6)40Un (+1.1)29-6743.0%7-2034.3%15-2074.8%46914

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the spread 527 times, while Washington covered the spread 473 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 535 games went under the total, while 434 games went over the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington won the game straight up 562 times, while Las Vegas won 416 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the first half line 526 times, while Washington covered the first half line 440 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 545 games went under the first half total, while 419 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the 4 point teaser line 584 times, and failed to cover 416 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 625 times, and failed to cover 375 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 548 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 418 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 641 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 334 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Washington.
Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots.
Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 9-15 (38%) with an average money line of -320. (-43.7 unit$, ROI=-56.8%)
The average score of these games was Aces 81.5, Opponents 82.1.
Bet on Washington on the 1st half line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 16-3 (84%) with an average 1st half line of +3.0. (+12.7 unit$, ROI=57.7%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 42.0, Opponents 38.6.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the 1st half total in Washington games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents.
The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 16-3 (84%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+12.7 unit$, ROI=57.7%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 42.7, Opponents 44.2.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in Las Vegas games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=67.0%)
The average score of these games was Aces 36.9, Opponents 37.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.