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Saturday, 07/12/2025 4:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 GS
 Golden State
61910-9155155-10578.5
 LVA
 Las Vegas
6209-11-1-1-115-0.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 GS Golden State85-2 GS (+3)
 LVA Las Vegas81-1

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 GS Golden State78GS (+1)Ov (+0.3)39 28-6940.1%9-3130.7%13-1778.8%47914
 LVA Las Vegas78 39LVA (+0.5)Un (+0.7)27-6739.5%9-2633.0%16-1983.0%44712

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 501 times, while Las Vegas covered the spread 473 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 501 games went over the total, while 478 games went under the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas won the game straight up 499 times, while Golden State won 479 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the first half line 505 times, while Golden State covered the first half line 495 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 524 games went under the first half total, while 476 games went over the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 571 times, and failed to cover 404 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 608 times, and failed to cover 364 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 599 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 372 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 588 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 384 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Golden State.
Bet on Golden State when they grab more than 47 rebounds in a game.
Golden State record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) ATS with an average line of +4.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%).
The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 83.2, Opponents 71.7.
Bet on Golden State on the money line when they grab more than 47 rebounds in a game.
Golden State record during the 2025 season: 7-1 (88%) with an average money line of +119. (+13.0 unit$, ROI=162.5%)
The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 83.2, Opponents 71.7.
Bet against Las Vegas on the money line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots.
Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 9-15 (38%) with an average money line of -320. (-43.7 unit$, ROI=-56.8%)
The average score of these games was Aces 81.5, Opponents 82.1.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 10-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+10.0 unit$, ROI=82.6%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 41.4, Opponents 38.2.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +5.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 39.9, Opponents 36.6.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 41.1, Opponents 37.6.
Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents.
Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half line of +4.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%)
The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 42.5, Opponents 37.8.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.