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| Monday, 07/14/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 PHO | 631 | 14-6 | ||||
 GS | 632 | 10-10 | NL | NL | NL | |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| PHO | 84 | |||
| GS | 85 | -3 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| PHO | 81 | 41 | 29-69 | 42.3% | 10-28 | 33.9% | 13-17 | 78.2% | 42 | 7 | 12 | ||||
| GS | 81 | 41 | 27-66 | 41.4% | 9-30 | 31.1% | 17-21 | 79.7% | 46 | 9 | 15 | ||||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the spread 0 times, while Phoenix covered the spread 0 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix won the game straight up 498 times, while Golden State won 477 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the first half line 0 times, while Phoenix covered the first half line 0 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the first half total, while 0 games went under the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Golden State covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the 4 point teaser line 0 times, and failed to cover 0 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 0 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 0 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average money line of -138. (+14.6 unit$, ROI=81.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 82.6, Opponents 79.4. |
| Trends Favoring Golden State. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Golden State when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +4.4. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 83.5, Opponents 77.5. |
| Bet on Golden State on the money line when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. Golden State record during the 2025 season: 5-1 (83%) with an average money line of +329. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=237.5%) The average score of these games was VALKYRIES 79.9, Opponents 72.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average money line of +135. (-16.2 unit$, ROI=-115.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.3, Opponents 83.9. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=83.3%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 41.8, Opponents 38.8. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they score 76 to 81 points in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +5.0. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 39.9, Opponents 36.6. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 45.3, Opponents 36.5. |
| Bet on Golden State on the 1st half line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Golden State record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +3.5. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was VALKYRIES 41.1, Opponents 37.6. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Phoenix games when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 161.4. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 92.4, Opponents 80.8. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.