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| Tuesday, 08/05/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 CON | 605 | 5-22 | 166 | 165.5 | 83.5 | |
 PHO | 606 | 17-11 | -14.5 | -13.5 | -8 | |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| CON | 74 | CON (+4.5) | ||
| PHO | 81 | -9 | -13.5 | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| CON | 73 | 37 | 26-65 | 40.4% | 6-20 | 31.8% | 14-18 | 79.8% | 41 | 8 | 16 | ||||
| PHO | 87 | PHO (+1.5) | Un (+5.1) | 44 | Un (+2.8) | 31-69 | 45.5% | 9-27 | 33.7% | 16-20 | 78.3% | 45 | 9 | 13 | |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the spread 530 times, while Connecticut covered the spread 470 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 630 games went under the total, while 370 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix won the game straight up 841 times, while Connecticut won 139 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the first half line 505 times, while Phoenix covered the first half line 459 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 601 games went under the first half total, while 399 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the 4 point teaser line 638 times, and failed to cover 362 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the 4 point teaser line 581 times, and failed to cover 419 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 477 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 523 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 737 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 263 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -201. (+12.0 unit$, ROI=59.7%) The average score of these games was Mercury 90.5, Opponents 80.7. |
| Bet against Connecticut in home games on the 1st half line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Connecticut record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 1-10 (9%) with an average 1st half line of +1.5. (-10.0 unit$, ROI=-82.6%) The average 1st half score of these games was Sun 38.0, Opponents 45.5. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 79.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Sun 40.5, Opponents 46.5. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.