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Friday, 05/16/2025 7:05 PM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-LPitcherMLO/UMLO/URL
 WAS Washington91318-26GORE(L)+1009o-15-1059o-10-1.5, +140
 BAL Baltimore91415-26POVICH(L)-1109u-05-1059u-10+1.5, -160

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Qualifying Betting Systems

Explore league-wide betting systems that reveal patterns where teams consistently outperform or underperform, applicable to both sides and totals for all games.
Betting Systems Favoring Baltimore
Bet against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 2021: 60-27 (69%) with an average money line of -106  (+31.5 unit$, ROI=34.3%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 4.2
The system's record this season is: (2-2, +0.0 units).

Bet on - Home teams - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP >=1.550), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 75-34 (68.8%) with an average money line of -110  (+37.6 unit$, ROI=31.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 4.0
The system's record this season is: (3-1, +2.4 units).

Bet against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 - with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 1997: 98-49 (66.7%) with an average money line of -109  (+44.5 unit$, ROI=27.8%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.5, Opponent 4.3
The system's record this season is: (1-0, +1.1 units).

Bet on - Home teams - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP >=1.550), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 124-75 (62.3%) with an average money line of -104  (+45.9 unit$, ROI=22.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 4.4
The system's record this season is: (1-4, -2.9 units).

Bet against - Road teams - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 2021: 146-84 (63.5%) with an average money line of -108  (+55.5 unit$, ROI=22.4%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.0, Opponent 4.2
The system's record this season is: (7-5, +1.0 units).

Bet on - Home teams against a 1.5 run line - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP >=1.550), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season.
System applies to: Baltimore.

System's record since 1997: 117-82 (58.8%) with an average run line of -0.1, money line=+111  (+47.8 unit$, ROI=24.0%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.2, Opponent 4.4
The system's record this season is: (1-4, -4.0 units).

Bet against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line - with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start).
System applies to: Washington.

System's record since 2021: 60-31 (65.9%) with an average run line of -1, money line=+105  (+32.1 unit$, ROI=35.2%)
The average score in these games was Team 5.3, Opponent 2.8
The system's record this season is: (11-9, +2.1 units).